Reborn in 2014: A One-Man Tycoon

"I am Alice's father, my name is William. I'm sorry, it was my fault for not being hospitable."

William invited Meng Chuan into the presidential suite.

He was very casual, which made Meng Chuan feel very comfortable.

As expected of the head of the Warburg family, he is warm, friendly, and has the demeanor of a leader.

"Mr. William, you're too kind. I didn't expect your Chinese to be better than my English."

Meng Chuan sat down with a smile.

Meng Chuan was not at all reserved.

He is now quite wealthy.

Money can embolden people.

If it were Meng Chuan before his rebirth, he might have been reserved and uncomfortable in front of William.

But now Meng Chuan has enough confidence to look William in the eye.

“Almost my whole family speaks Chinese. The East is a great country.”

William and Meng Chuan chatted casually.

Meng Chuan wasn't in a hurry.

William hadn't expected Meng Chuan to be so good at maintaining his composure.

The two found themselves getting along very well, and William grew increasingly satisfied with Meng Chuan.

Finally, William steered the conversation to the main point:

"My brother told me you're very capable. I've come here today to discuss a collaboration with you. I wonder if you'd be interested!"

"Please say."

Meng Chuan, unhurriedly, gestured for William to continue.

"Since last year, with Crimea's annexation by Russia, the turmoil in the region has never stopped."

"According to accurate information I have received, Ukraine plans to launch a full-scale offensive in January 2015, with the aim of reclaiming the lost Crimean region."

"The Russian bear country will definitely not sit idly by, and a major war between the two countries is very likely to break out."

"As you know, the main products of the Russian bear country are energy, especially crude oil and natural gas."

"It accounts for 6.2% and 18.1% of global reserves. It is also the world's second-largest crude oil producer and the world's largest natural gas exporter."

"If war breaks out, Russia's crude oil exports will be severely hampered."

"The crude oil and natural gas markets may both experience a surge similar to the one seen in Iraq."

In fact, the last time the Iraq War broke out, the international crude oil market experienced huge turmoil.

The Warburg family also entered the fray.

However, the Warburg family did not gain any benefit.

Although they did make a lot of money at the beginning.

But because he was too slow to withdraw, he lost almost all the money he had earned.

Even with countless actuaries and market analysts within the Warburg family, such a sudden event could not have occurred.

It is also impossible to control it accurately.

In that oil price turmoil, there were actually not many institutions that made money.

Meng Chuan is the most outstanding among them.

Although William thought Meng Chuan didn't earn much, Meng Chuan was a retail investor with even less initial capital.

However, Meng Chuan's timing in making and withdrawing his attacks was simply divine.

This time, since the “Gangnam Style Revolution” broke out in Ukraine from the end of 2013 to the beginning of 2014.

With the then-president fleeing, Ukraine descended into complete chaos, providing an opportunity for Russia to intervene.

In March 2014, Crimea was completely incorporated into the territory of Russia.

William has some connections with the U.S. military.

Therefore, they were able to obtain accurate inside information that the plan for Wukran was to launch a full-scale offensive in January 2015 to reclaim lost territory.

Given Russia's confidence and past behavior, it is highly likely that it will send troops.

The probability of a local war escalating into a major war between the two countries is extremely high.

Once it reaches the point of national war, given the status of the Russian bear nation in the international crude oil market...

William predicts that this time the crude oil market will see an even bigger surge than the last Iraq War.

That's why he thought of seeking cooperation with Meng Chuan.

He called it a collaboration, but actually he just wanted to hear Meng Chuan's analysis or opinions.

First of all, Meng Chuan made an accurate prediction last time.

Moreover, Meng Chuan has such outstanding achievements in economics.

So many economists in the family highly praised Meng Chuan.

Now, Meng Chuan has even been nominated for the Nobel Prize in Economics.

Therefore, William was eager to know Meng Chuan's opinion on this oil price turmoil.

"Mr. William, do you want to hear the truth?"

Meng Chuan pondered for a long time before suddenly asking a question.

Because of William's reminder, Meng Chuan carefully recalled all his memories of the conflict between the Russian bear country and Ukraine.

"Of course, I came to see you today because I want to hear the truth."

William said matter-of-factly.

At the same time, he stared intently at Meng Chuan.

This shows how much he valued Meng Chuan's opinion.

"Crude oil prices will not rise this time; in fact, they will fall. Natural gas prices should remain stable."

Upon hearing Meng Chuan's words, both William and Alice's expressions changed.

This crisis in Russia is very similar to the previous situation in Iraq.

How could there be different results?

"why?"

William sat up straight.

Even Alice looked at Meng Chuan with curiosity.

"First of all, a national war is unlikely to break out, at least not at the moment. Because neither Russia nor Ukraine can afford the cost of war."

Meng Chuan analyzed.

Having witnessed history, Meng Chuan knew that this time, the Russian Empire and Ukraine would not go to war.

Because the only country in the world that likes to fight wars and can make money from them is the United States.

Even in localized wars, many countries exercise great restraint.

They dared not easily cross the other party's red line.

The real, full-scale conflict between the Russian Bear Kingdom and Ukraine, a war that nearly led to the annihilation of both countries.

It was only after Zelian took office in 2019 that the situation fully erupted.

Before 2019, all wars were localized.

The oil production of the Russian bear country remains stable and can be exported continuously.

"How so? The Russian bear has already declared Crimea to be Russian territory. If it were lost, the Russian bear would lose all face on the international stage, and a full-scale war would be inevitable. Moreover, the United States is fanning the flames."

William asked, puzzled.

William made no attempt to hide it.

But what he said is also true; the entire conflict between Russia and Ukraine was fueled by the United States.

"Because of the nuclear threat from Russia, the United States dares not intervene. Ukraine alone cannot reclaim the lost territory."

Meng Chuan said with certainty.

As long as Crimea remains in the hands of Russia, no matter how much Ukraine tries to cause trouble, a full-scale war is impossible.

"Even without a full-scale war, under the threat of war, most people would expect the oil market to rise. If everyone buys long, it will naturally rise. Why do you think it will fall?"

William said.

Whether it's futures or stocks.

They all have the same properties.

When everyone is bullish, it is bound to rise.

When everyone is bearish, it is bound to fall.

Meng Chuan smiled mysteriously and asked in return:

"What if new oil becomes available, leading to a supply exceeding demand? Do you think prices will rise or fall?"