Counterattack starts with controlling probability

That day, the news was like a bombshell, instantly shattering the calmness of the entire financial market.

Stock indices on major exchanges around the world plummeted rapidly, as if every stock had lost its vitality in an instant.

Li Hao sat in front of the computer in the office, his eyes fixed on the screen. The surrounding environment seemed to have nothing to do with him. Only the series of jumping red numbers told him that the world was collapsing.

The S&P 500 fell more than 10%, and the Nasdaq and Dow Jones plummeted at an alarming rate.

Less than an hour after the U.S. stock market opened, Europe's FTSE 100, CAC40 and German DAX followed suit, falling nearly 8%.

These giants in the capital market were like being swallowed by huge waves and lost their support in an instant.

Li Hao's eyes fell on the computer screen.

The entire market seemed to be collapsing, but this time, he wasn't completely panicking.

He had long realized that this was not just a simple market adjustment, but the beginning of an unprecedented global crisis.

The bond market is also in a mess.

As the stock market plummeted, yields on U.S. and German government bonds began to fluctuate wildly.

Investors fled to safe-haven assets, but even so, liquidity in the bond market continued to shrink sharply.

Crises in the corporate bond market have ensued, especially for companies that are already highly leveraged and are on the verge of default.

With the sharp fluctuations in the market, the break in the capital chain is obvious.

Credit tension in the interbank market is becoming increasingly severe, and the entire financial system seems to have lost its basic support in an instant.

Central banks around the world took immediate action to release large amounts of liquidity to prevent further panic in the market.

However, in the short term, these efforts do not appear to be having much effect.

Li Hao and Professor Hall are analyzing the situation in a video conference.

Hall's tone was solemn. "This black swan event is not just a market crash, but a shock to the entire financial system. While the intervention of central banks around the world is timely, whether it can effectively stabilize the market depends on the market trends in the next few days."

Li Hao nodded, his eyes still fixed on the changes in the market.

At the same time, the commodity market was not spared. Oil prices plummeted. Although gold prices soared briefly, with the crazy withdrawal of capital, gold ultimately could not avoid the fate of falling.

Even the most stable foreign exchange market is not immune.

The exchange rates between the US dollar and the euro fluctuated violently, and central banks in many countries had to intervene urgently to prevent the spread of the financial crisis.

The panic in the market is not limited to professional investors, ordinary retail investors have also begun to withdraw funds on a large scale.

News of the stock market crash popped up on almost every investor's phone, and almost all financial media around the world were reporting on the subsequent developments of the crisis.

The traffic on the trading platform surged, and a large number of retail investors chose to sell their stocks to avoid risks. Some investors even issued panic orders in extreme panic, leading to further market collapse.

Li Hao was thinking about how to find opportunities in this storm, and he had realized that this crisis went far beyond a short-term market adjustment.

This is not just a baptism of the market, but also a profound examination of the entire financial system.

However, behind this financial crisis, there is still some unknown force quietly driving the violent fluctuations in the market.

At this time, global regulators also began to strengthen their intervention in the market, and financial regulatory authorities in various countries took action one after another, trying to curb the market collapse through measures such as limiting declines and suspending trading.

However, this market panic is not so easy to quell.

The turmoil in the global capital market has swept the entire world like a sudden storm. For the general public, this black swan event has brought not only the shrinkage of assets, but more importantly, the turmoil and anxiety in life.

In the hot summer when the lights are just coming on, pedestrians on the street are hurried and anxious. Many white-collar workers walk by in a hurry, and the stock market quotes constantly refreshing on their mobile phone screens make their faces even more heavy.

In a coffee shop, several young people who often discuss investment quietly sipped their coffee, a tense atmosphere permeating the silence. Someone whispered, "This is truly a major event! Even tech stocks are being affected. How could this happen?"

A middle-class woman walked out of the store and frowned slightly when she saw the news headlines.

She had just received loan approval for a new home, but the current stock market crash and market uncertainty made her dream seem out of reach.

She stood on the busy street, stunned for a moment, feeling somewhat unwilling but powerless to change it.

At this moment, her phone vibrated again. The last message was from a friend: "Aren't you optimistic about this stock? Don't worry, there may be a rebound."

She smiled to herself and pressed the screen, but did not reply.

At this moment, she only felt helpless in her heart - no one knew what the future would be like.

Next to a small stall on the street, another scene was happening.

The stall owner nervously watched his small business, and when he heard customers whispering about the stock market crash, he couldn't help but feel anxious too.

His son had just graduated from college and was preparing to join a company. Logically, that was a stable path, but the current situation made everything uncertain.

The turmoil in the stock market will affect the recruitment demand in his industry. Many people suddenly decide to cut spending, and investors withdraw from the market, which also affects this small market.

The stall owner frowned at the building across the street, feeling uncertain: "This is not an easy situation. I really don't know what to do."

At the same time, investors in the shopping mall who were affected by the market storm also seemed upset.

The glass windows of the building reflected the street lights, casting shadows on many sad faces.

The investment and fund sales staff's voices became lowered at this time, and they even began to communicate with customers cautiously.

"Don't worry, this is just a temporary fluctuation and everything will stabilize soon." They themselves know that this storm is far from a short-term adjustment and the market turmoil will directly affect the wealth accumulation of most people.

An old man with white hair was sitting in the bank lobby, looking through his long-term savings statements.

Suddenly, a news push popped up on his phone screen: "Global stock markets plummet, triggering systemic risks."

The old man clenched his fists, a hint of uneasiness flashing in his eyes.

For decades, he has relied on safe deposits and low-risk investments to spend his old age, but all this seems to be changing now.

Today, he also went to the bank to withdraw some cash. Although the amount was not large, he still felt a little uneasy.

When he was young, he had heard that the stock market was risky and that investing should be cautious, but he never expected that this day would come so soon.

And in families further away, parents who pin all their hopes on their children are also beginning to have doubts about the future.

A mother called her son at home, her tone somewhat urgent: "I'm telling you, the financial crisis is coming. Don't use your money for high-risk investments anymore. Sell those funds quickly! We still have to save our family's savings."

Her words were full of anxiety and helplessness.

Her son's silence on the other end of the phone made her feel uneasy: "Mom, don't worry, I will pay attention."

All the turmoil and anxiety fill almost every corner of every family.

The stock market crash and black swan events have allowed the general public to experience what true "uncontrollability" means.

Some of them have realized that the market has changed dramatically and are tightening their purse strings and cutting unnecessary expenses;

Some people still blindly expect the market to recover quickly as in the past;

Some people also directly withdrew from the stock market and turned to look for safer investment methods.

Whether it is panic or overreaction, the general public under black swan events are always facing a future that they cannot predict.

Li Hao and Professor Hall are not immersed in anxiety like many people.

They realized that it was the uncertainty in this chaos that gave them an unprecedented opportunity.

Li Hao sat in a spacious and bright office in Berkeley. Next to him, Professor Hall was operating the latest AI analysis model with a focused look on his face.

The office was so quiet that only the slight hum of the computer could be heard. Li Hao was flipping through the data reports of the past few days, and a hint of anxiety flashed in his eyes.

"What we need is a more accurate market forecasting model," Li Hao said firmly. "We can't let this panic continue to spread. Many retail investors and small institutions have been forced to sell in this storm, while some large capital and institutions are rapidly deploying their assets. We can't sit idly by."

Professor Hall nodded, but his eyes were still fixed on the computer screen.

"I agree. AI's real-time data processing capabilities and accurate trend predictions can provide us with real market signals in a very short period of time. We only need to utilize existing models, combined with our understanding of market psychology, to reverse the situation in the short term."

Li Hao smiled slightly and connected to the server of Xinxing Zhitou.

Their latest investment portfolio is suffering huge floating losses, and market fluctuations have made many potential opportunities suddenly become unclear.

Li Hao said solemnly, "We now have two goals. First, to leverage AI's predictive capabilities to promptly capture market signals and avoid unnecessary panic selling. Second, to provide a strong signal to New Star Investment's investors, telling them that this crisis is not irreversible."

Professor Hall's eyes gleamed. "To do this, we need to leverage our existing networks. Contact more high-level investors, especially those who can quickly restore confidence in the market. Remember Black Monday? It was the intervention of top investment institutions that ultimately restored market rationality."

Li Hao nodded, his eyes filled with deep thought.

"Yes, the market's recovery does not rely solely on capital itself, but more on the restoration of confidence. In this storm, confidence is the greatest wealth."

Li Hao and Professor Hall jointly improved many details in the AI ​​model.

The new algorithm can not only monitor every market fluctuation in real time, but also predict the impact of various economic events, quickly adjust the investment portfolio, and look for clues to market sentiment through analysis of social media, news events and stock market data.

"What we have now is the market advantage for the next few months or even years." Li Hao looked at the data updated in real time in the model and felt an unprecedented control.

he continued.

"Next, we must not only keep up with the market, but also lead it. We can guide prices back to rationality by operating in the opposite direction of market panic."

Professor Hall nodded and said, "Using emotions to drive the market is the most effective way to combat this kind of black swan event."