Counterattack starts with controlling probability

In the autumn in Berkeley, the breeze is blowing gently, the sun shines through the towering trees on campus and onto the ground, and students are hurrying by on the bookish streets.

Li Haozheng was walking out of an academic lecture at the Department of Statistics with a pensive expression on his face.

Liu Xia, who was standing next to him, was holding a thick MBA case study textbook. She looked up at him and said, "It seems like you were listening so intently in class just now. You didn't even reply to my message... What did you hear?"

Li Hao smiled and said, "Nothing much. I just thought that the statistical models Professor Hall mentioned might be worth trying out in our project."

"Still so serious." Liu Xia couldn't help but grumble softly, "I attended one of your classes before, and I always felt that you were the real teacher in class. You always answered questions so fluently."

"That's the difference between statistics and an MBA." Li Hao looked at her. "But you're pretty impressive, too. At least you were a clear winner in this case discussion."

The two walked and talked, and came to an open-air cafe in the center of the campus and sat down.

Liu Xia ordered a cup of American coffee, lowered her head to organize her course notes, and a hint of concentration appeared between her brows.

Li Hao looked at her busy appearance and felt an inexplicable warmth in his heart.

"Are you getting used to your life lately?" Li Hao suddenly asked, his tone a little softer than usual.

Liu Xia raised her head and smiled softly. "It was a bit tiring at first, but it's okay. How about you? Is PhD life easy?"

"Relaxing?" Li Hao smiled and shook his head. "I'm busy with classes during the day and domestic affairs at night. I hardly have any free time. But seeing that the stock price has stabilized, I feel relieved."

Liu Xia nodded, her eyes falling on Li Hao's face, a hint of concern in her eyes: "You know, sometimes I feel that you have done enough. Don't put too much pressure on yourself, really."

Li Hao was stunned for a moment, then smiled: "Some things have to be taken up by someone."

Liu Xia didn't respond, but just lowered her head and gently stirred the coffee, a faint blush appearing on her face.

She knew that Li Hao in front of her was not only a strong man in his career, but in her heart, he was also a person who could be trusted and relied upon.

Their relationship grew closer unknowingly.

During evening study, the two often found seats next to each other in the library, one focusing on statistical models, the other delving into business cases;

On weekends, they occasionally go together to explore Berkeley's delicious food, or take walks on the campus trails, chatting about academics and life.

……

However, on the other side of the Pacific Ocean, a conspiracy against Daxia's capital market is quietly forming.

In Godma Capital's high-level meeting room, Jason was standing in front of a huge screen, looking grimly at an analysis report on the Daxia Capital Market.

The laser pointer in his hand pointed at the names of several key stocks on the screen - Noah Technology, Feiyue Media, and several new technology stocks that were about to be listed.

"We've completed the first round of planning," Jason said, turning to the team in front of him. "Currently, the market has strong confidence in these companies, but this confidence is based on superficial data. If we can disrupt this data and create market panic, we can trigger a chain reaction in a short period of time."

One analyst questioned: "But the fundamentals of these companies are not bad, especially Noah Technology and Feiyue Media. Their position in the industry is very solid, and the market has high expectations for them. We have limited room to suppress them."

Jason sneered, "No matter how strong a fortress is, it has its weaknesses. We've found some entry points."

"For example, whether Feiyue Media's advertising revenue growth is too dependent on short-term contracts, and whether Noah Technology's R&D investment is exaggerated."

He threw a stack of documents onto the table and said, "These doubts will become our weapons. We will use public opinion and market manipulation to amplify these issues and make investors doubt their profitability."

Another senior trader added, "Currently, international capital is paying attention to Daxia's technology stocks, especially those newly listed. If we can stir up a market storm, it will inevitably affect the entire sector. At that time, we will not only be able to profit from short selling, but also accumulate shares at low prices, laying the foundation for the next step."

Jason nodded. "That's right. The key is to take it one step at a time. Start with public opinion, create fluctuations in market sentiment, and then further intensify investors' panic by continuously suppressing stock prices."

There was a solemn atmosphere in the meeting room, and everyone was focused on their own tasks.

They knew that this was not just a market operation, but also a comprehensive harvesting plan targeting Daxia Technology stocks.

……

At night, Li Hao and Liu Xia walked out of the library together, with the bright lights of the University of Berkeley behind them.

Liu Xia looked up at the starry sky and said softly, "I heard recently that the domestic market situation is still a bit complicated. Are you confident?"

Li Hao paused, looked toward the distant lights, and replied, "It's certainly complicated, but times like this are especially crucial when we can't back down. The capital market has always been more than just a game of money; it's also a contest of wisdom and conviction."

Liu Xia smiled slightly and nodded: "Okay, then I will work hard with you."

The two smiled at each other and walked silently on the campus's tree-lined path, their steps firm and calm.

What they don’t know is that at this moment in Daxia, the shadow of Godma Capital is approaching step by step, laying a huge net for the entire capital market.

Not long after, Jason from Godma Capital returned to the United States.

At the same time, a public lecture at UCB attracted the attention of teachers and students across the university.

The theme of the speech was "The Power of Global Capital and Future Trends", and the keynote speaker was a senior representative from Morga Capital and Godma Capital.

The lecture was held in the largest lecture hall at the University of California, Berkeley. It was packed with students and professors, and even the aisles were crowded with students and professors.

Li Hao and Liu Xia sat in the front area, and both were curious about the speech.

Morga Capital’s global influence is unquestionable, and Godma Capital’s recent frequent activity in the Asian market makes people feel the ambition and means behind it.

The speech by these two capital giants on the same stage is destined to be a capital feast not to be missed.

The first person to appear was the Chief Analyst of Morga Capital, a middle-aged man with gray hair. He stood in the center of the podium with a smile and began his speech.

"Dear students, I'm very happy to be here at UCB to share with you our experience in the capital markets," he said calmly and elegantly. "Morga Capital's core philosophy is to find the true value of assets through a global perspective."

The laser pointer in his hand lit up the big screen, showing a beautiful world map with Morga Capital's global investment distribution marked on it.

“How do we maintain growth amidst market volatility?”

He glanced at the audience with a confident smile.

"The answer is that we don't just follow market changes; we lead them. We capture information asymmetry in the global economy and invest in high-quality assets that are mispriced by the market. This not only creates excess returns for our investors but also injects new vitality into these companies through acquisitions and integration."

There was a burst of applause from the audience, but Li Hao frowned slightly.

Although these words seem to be insightful and powerful, they also hint at a manipulation of the market.

The next person to appear was Jason, the representative of Godma Capital.

As soon as this mysterious investor appeared, he attracted everyone's attention.

His speaking style is completely different from that of Morga Capital, being sharper and more straightforward.

"Thank you for sharing your experience with Morga Capital. Our goals at Godma Capital are different from Morga's." Jason glanced at the audience and spoke sharply, "We don't just seek value in the market; we proactively create it. We're not just investing; we're fundamentally changing the rules of the market."

As he spoke, he switched to a new slide, which showed several important investment cases of Godma Capital in recent years, including many high-quality assets that were bought at the bottom.

"Some say our strategy is 'plundering' and 'harvesting.' But in reality, we're exploiting market irrationality to bring real efficiency to global capital." Jason's eyes were calm. "When the market panics, we enter. When the market is greedy, we exit. This way, we maximize returns and transform overlooked opportunities into wealth."

Li Hao listened and became secretly alert.

These words are not only a summary of Godma Capital's strategy, but also an implicit threat.

After the speech, there was a question-and-answer session for the audience.

Jason glanced around and suddenly set his sights on Li Hao. "Student, I noticed you were listening very attentively. And you're from Asia, where we've been focusing on this lately, right? Do you have any questions?"

Li Hao was slightly startled, then stood up and spoke in a steady tone, "Mr. Jason, you mentioned that market irrationality is an important opportunity for investment. But I want to ask, when you profit by creating fluctuations in market sentiment, are you also invisibly exacerbating market instability?"

As soon as these words were spoken, the whole audience fell silent.

Many people turned their eyes to Jason, waiting for his response.

Jason smiled slightly and said slowly, "This student's question is very interesting. But what I want to say is that we don't create fluctuations; we take advantage of market fluctuations. The market is never stable; we simply seize those undervalued opportunities."

He then changed the subject: "However, I admire your observation skills. What's your name?"

"Li Hao." Li Hao answered frankly.

Jason's eyes flashed slightly, obviously knowing Li Hao's identity.

He said thoughtfully, "It's a good name. Your insight into the market may allow you to go further in future capital games."

Then, Liu Xia also raised her hand and asked, "Mr. Jason, Godma Capital's strategy mentions 'harvesting,' but will this approach cause irreversible damage to those being harvested? What are your thoughts on such consequences?"

Jason looked at Liu Xia, his lips curled up slightly. "In every capital market game, there are winners and losers. This is the law of the market. We can't change it, but we can exploit it."

There was a slight murmur from the audience, but Liu Xia sensed an unsettling coldness in the words.

After the speech, when Li Hao and Liu Xia were about to leave, Jason stepped forward and took the initiative to shake their hands. He said: "Your questions are very insightful. I look forward to seeing you in the market in the future."

His eyes were filled with a hint of amusement, and his tone was profound: "The capital market is a battlefield without the smoke of gunpowder. I hope we have the opportunity to compete on the same battlefield."

Li Hao smiled slightly and said calmly: "Same here."