Counterattack starts with controlling probability

The next morning, sunlight filtered through the leaves of the sycamore trees on the Berkeley campus and shone onto Li Hao's desk.

He had just finished a sleepless night of capital gaming, but he did not relax at all.

Although he won a temporary victory in the battle in the capital market, he knew in his heart that the aftermath of the battle was still there.

Although market confidence has been temporarily stabilized and malicious short sellers have suffered, the capital group will not stop its tactics.

Li Hao walked into Professor Hall's office with his head full of thoughts.

Hall was sorting a pile of thick academic materials in front of the bookshelf. When he saw Li Hao come in, he immediately smiled kindly: "Li, how was your night? You didn't look like you slept well."

"I really didn't sleep much." Li Hao pulled up a chair and sat down, his expression somewhat serious. "We had a market battle with a domestic capital group last night and managed to stabilize the stock price, but this isn't a long-term solution."

Hall nodded, motioning for him to continue.

Li Hao sighed. "We've adopted a strategy of rapidly increasing the stock price, combining funds from multiple sources to counter the pressure from the short-selling groups. This tactic is indeed effective in the short term, but it also comes at a high cost. The massive mobilization of funds and the drastic market fluctuations make me uneasy. I'm afraid this confrontation will hinder the company's long-term plans."

Hall sat down at his desk, his eyes a little more thoughtful. "It sounds like your strategy is correct, but it is indeed a bit risky. In the capital market, short-term confrontation can indeed repel the enemy, but in the long run, playing with emotions and money is never the best approach."

"Professor, what should we do?" Li Hao leaned forward slightly, with a hint of expectation in his eyes.

Hall pondered for a moment, then spoke slowly, "The capital market is a psychological war, yes, but it's also an information war. Driving up the stock price is just a passive response. What truly stabilizes the market and strikes a blow against your competitors is changing the market's long-term expectations of your company. In other words, instead of obsessing over the stock price, it's better to directly control the source of market sentiment."

"Control the source?" Li Hao frowned, obviously confused.

"Yes." Hall stood up, walked to the whiteboard, and drew a simple curved line with a marker. "The capital market's expectations come from investors' judgment of your company's fundamentals, and this judgment is easily influenced by public opinion. You need to adopt higher-level strategies to guide public opinion and investor perception."

"For example?" Li Hao asked.

Hall wrote a few words above the curve: "Transparency, Confidence, Data."

"First, transparency," Hall said. "You need to show the market that Noah Technology not only has a robust business and healthy finances, but also has a clear plan for technological innovation and market expansion. This requires you to regularly publish clear data and reports, and proactively communicate with the media and investors, rather than passively responding when they raise questions."

Li Hao nodded. "We can do that. We can publish a detailed strategic report covering the company's development direction and core technological advantages for the next few years."

"Very good," Hall continued. "Second point, confidence. Although your actions last night stabilized the stock price, such short-term confrontation cannot truly build market confidence."

"You need to find some influential partners or industry experts to endorse Noah Technology. The capital market values ​​authority. As long as there is sufficient confidence, the opponent's suppression will naturally lose its effect."

"I can contact some friends in the investment circle and ask them to publicly express their support for the company," Li Hao mused. "We can also showcase our technological strength at industry conferences."

Hall showed an approving look and continued, "Finally, and most importantly—data."

"Investor confidence doesn't just come from your verbal promises; it needs to be backed by real data. You need to use data to show the market that the company is not only performing well now, but also has stable growth potential in the future. For example, key financial indicators, market share, technological leadership, etc., all need to be published regularly, and these data must be sufficiently credible."

After listening to this, Li Hao's eyes lit up. "Professor, I understand. Instead of struggling to cope with the capital market, it's better to address the problem from the root. Use transparent communication, real data, and strong confidence to completely dismantle the opponent's psychological warfare."

Hall nodded. "That's the core strategy. Capital market competition ultimately boils down to a cognitive game between people. As long as the market believes you're untouchable, no one will dare to rashly attack you."

Li Hao stood up and bowed deeply. "Thank you, Professor. These suggestions are very helpful to me."

Hall smiled and waved his hand. "You're welcome, Li. You're my student academically, but I'm also eager to see how far you can go in the capital market. Go ahead and take Noah Technology to new heights in your own way."

Inside the luxurious suite of the top hotel in northern Beijing, a gloomy atmosphere enveloped the room.

The short-selling group's trading team sat in front of the screen, their faces full of fatigue and frustration.

Not only did Noah Technology's stock price stabilize, it was also quickly pulled up to a high level, causing their plan to completely lose the initiative.

"Our funding chain was nearly broken," a trader said nervously. "During yesterday's confrontation, our leveraged account was nearly liquidated three times."

"Their funding volume far exceeded our expectations," another trader frowned. "This isn't a simple company buyback; they clearly have external funding. We underestimated their ability to fight back."

The middle-aged man sitting in the main seat had a cold look in his eyes, and the pen in his hand tapped against the table again and again, making an annoying sound.

He gritted his teeth and whispered, "I didn't expect Li Hao's team to be so difficult to deal with. We were careless this time."

At this moment, the door of the room was pushed open and a man in a gray suit walked in.

He is tall and his every move reveals the confidence of an elite, but there is a stern expression on his face.

"It seems that your plan has failed." The man in the gray suit spoke in a low voice with unquestionable majesty.

The middle-aged man stood up suddenly, his tone a little flustered: "Mr. Jason, this is just a temporary setback. Although Noah Technology's stock price has temporarily rebounded, market sentiment has not completely stabilized. We can still..."

"Enough." Jason interrupted him coldly, walked to the screen, stared at the stock price curve that was gradually stabilizing, with a hint of coldness in his eyes.

"Do you think such a simple short-selling strategy can defeat Noah Technology? Li Hao's team is no ordinary opponent. They have both financial support and the ability to control market sentiment at critical moments. Your failure shows that you have no idea what they are doing."

There was a dead silence in the room, and no one dared to speak out in rebuttal.

Jason turned around, his eyes sweeping over everyone, and then his tone became even colder: "From now on, this matter will be directly taken over by us, Godma Capital. Your task is to cooperate with our operations."

Hearing the words "Godma Capital", everyone couldn't help but hold their breath.

Godma Capital is well-known in the international capital market. Although its scale is not as large as Morga Capital, it has close ties with Morga Capital.

Industry rumors suggest that Godma Capital is a hidden chess piece in Morga Capital's layout of the Asian market, specializing in high-risk, high-return capital operations.

"Mr. Jason, does your personal handling of this matter mean that the operation has been upgraded?" the middle-aged man asked tentatively.

Jason smiled slightly, but his smile was filled with sarcasm. "Of course. We won't let Noah Technology get away with it so easily. Our goal is not just to short them, but to completely destroy their credibility and confidence in the market."

"But they now control the stock price and have ample funds. How can we break through?" a trader asked cautiously.

Jason's eyes darkened slightly. "Abundant funds? Then make sure they can't spend their funds. We have a better way—start with emotions and public opinion, and amplify the market's doubts about them."

As he spoke, he pulled a document from his briefcase and slammed it on the table. "We will publish several in-depth reports on Noah Technology in international financial media, questioning their core technological capabilities and financial transparency. Specifically, we will exploit loopholes in their past collaborations with international investors to create market distrust."

The middle-aged man flipped through the documents, a hint of excitement in his eyes. "This is a brilliant move. If the market starts to lose trust in them, no matter how much capital they have, it won't be able to resist the emotional collapse."

Jason nodded. "More importantly, we'll use Godma Capital's special channels to attract more short-selling forces. This will make the market feel that Noah Technology's stock price is completely overvalued. At that time, even if they want to fight back, they will be forced to give up due to the dual pressures of capital chain and market opinion."

A trader suddenly asked, "But why is Godma Capital so interested in Noah Technology? After all, it's just a regional technology company."

Jason smiled slightly, a hint of amusement in his tone. "Because this is not just a capital game. Noah Technology's core technology has affected the interests of certain people. And these people happen to be our partners."

Hearing this, everyone couldn't help but hold their breath.

They vaguely felt that there was a deeper chess game behind this capital war against Noah Technology.

Godma Capital is just an important piece in this game.

"Remember," Jason said slowly, his voice low and full of authority, "This battle isn't just about making money, it's about showing them what true capital power is."

After saying that, he turned and left the room, leaving behind a sense of oppression and tension.

The people in the room were silent for a long time, and then they quickly took action, preparing to carry out the next step according to the new plan.

On the other side of the ocean, Li Hao was still unaware of all this.