Beiyang reactionaries
Page 1770
After all, Britain and France have been the world hegemons for so many years, have a strong influence in the world, and have a large number of colonies.Even though so many colonies were lost in World War II, there are many former colonial countries following Britain and France.In other words, the current colonies are currently following the lead of Britain and France.
Also, the colonial system built by Britain and France has not completely collapsed and is still playing its role.
Moreover, Britain and France are in decline, but they are not reconciled to withdrawing from the position of overlord in this way, and still want to maintain the most beneficial colonial system for them.Therefore, they will definitely resist and will not give in easily.However, compared with the socialist camp headed by the Soviet Union, Britain and France are easier to deal with, because the Second World War hit them very hard.
Britain, the "empire on which the sun never sets", owes a huge debt to the United States.
Even if the United States offers some relief, the rest is still a huge sum of money.This huge sum of money exceeds tens of billions of dollars, which is several times the fiscal revenue of the United Kingdom.The current UK simply cannot afford to repay the money.Not only does it owe so much money, Britain also needs the support of the United States if it wants to recover after the war.Therefore, the United Kingdom now depends on the face of the United States, so it has to make concessions in many aspects.
Not to mention France.
At the Yalta Conference, although France also received "treatment" from a major power and had the opportunity to participate in the partition of Germany with Britain, the United States and the Soviet Union, this was only the beginning.France was able to rise in status at the Yalta Conference, not because France was suddenly so powerful.After all, France surrendered to Germany, and it stands to reason that it is impossible to gain the status of a great power so quickly.The rise of France's status is nothing more than the result of the game between the four major powers of China, Britain, the United States and the Soviet Union. It is still a long way from truly joining the division of interests in the post-war world.
Therefore, in the current situation, Britain and France need to compromise in many aspects and agree with the US proposition.Although there will be differences with the United States for their own interests, there will be no major problems in the general direction.
After that, the third force is the Asian power led by China.
Compared with Europe and the United States, Asia is relatively backward.After all, the birthplace of the industrial revolution was in Europe, and many countries in Asia were colonies before, so of course they are not as good as European and American countries in all aspects.But it doesn't mean that Asia is really unimportant.On the contrary, Asia is very important and its status is not low.
Because there are two industrial countries in Asia, one is China with a population of more than 10 billion, and the other is Japan with a population of 7000 million.The industrial strength of China and Japan was fully reflected in this war, and they were not afraid of the industrial powers of Europe and the United States at all.In addition to China and Japan, there are countries in Asia such as India, North Korea, and Thailand that have a certain industrial base.
In addition to them, there are many countries in Asia with half the world's population.Such a big force certainly has a high status in the world.
If the United States wants to promote trade globalization, what it needs is to balance these major forces.
The United States was the first to make peace with Britain and France, so these countries held a meeting at Bretton Woods to discuss these issues.At present, the "Bretton Woods System" has just begun to be constructed, but it can be seen that Britain and France are ready to support the US proposition.
In recent months, China and the United States have been engaged in "trade negotiations".
After the Yili meeting, Wang Jingwei took a large negotiating team to the United States to negotiate with the United States.In addition to recruiting elites from various ministries and commissions of the cabinet, members of the delegation also recruited talents from many universities, researchers, and some large enterprises.After the negotiation reached a rough framework, it is of course impossible for Wang Jingwei to stay in the United States as the vice chairman of the Supreme Council.After returning to China, the Chinese delegation handed over the responsibility to Zhang Jiaao, deputy director of the Economic and Development Commission.
After Wang Jingwei returned to China, he followed Duan Xun to the Yalta Conference.
When Duan Xun returned to Beijing, he first dealt with some problems and familiarized himself with the domestic situation.Although Duan Xun is abroad, he has been in contact with China, and important issues need to be reviewed by Duan Xun.But after all, Duan Xun left the country for two months, so he only dealt with some important matters.Therefore, after returning to China, there are still many other things that Duan Xun needs to understand and deal with.
After dealing with these matters, Duan Xun held an enlarged meeting of the Supreme Committee.
The first discussion is the situation of Sino-US trade negotiations.
The two sides have reached a preliminary agreement, and the rest are more sensitive areas.There are many sensitive things that cannot be decided ahead of time.It is the same whether it is China or the United States.The Chinese side needs the approval of the Supreme Council, and the US side needs the approval of Congress.
After listening to the report, Duan Xun didn't talk about the specific situation, but just expressed his own thoughts.Duan Xun set the general direction, and the remaining specific provisions still need to be completed by the front delegation.
"We must support trade globalization. Because our country is a big industrial country, according to our country's territorial area and population size, our future industrial scale will inevitably surpass that of the United States and become the world's largest industrial power. But according to our domestic situation It is not easy for our country to absorb these industrial products in a short period of time. The same is true in Asia. This requires us to trade with other countries in the world and find markets that can absorb our industrial output."
"And at this stage, my country's industrial scale is very large, but there is still a gap between the industrial technology and the standardization of industrial standards and the West. If there is a gap, you must admit the gap and don't close the country. This is not only applicable to the current stage, even if my country's industry in the future Technology surpasses European and American countries, and we should not interrupt exchanges with them. Exchanges can develop."
Duan Xun is very supportive of trade globalization.
Any country, any nation has its shortcomings and advantages.Only by communicating with each other can we learn from each other and make progress with each other.What's more, China is a big industrial country, but the current domestic situation is that it is difficult to absorb so much industrial production capacity.Therefore, China must find new markets, so participating in trade globalization is a must.Even if China has strength, it should lead the globalization of world trade.
At this stage, the United States is stronger, so the United States dominates world globalization.China is also not weak, so it should negotiate with the United States to get the best conditions in the globalization of trade.
"But in terms of finance and currency, we must be cautious. Asia is our basic market. For a period of time after the war, what we have to do is to stabilize and develop Asia. To achieve currency circulation within Asia , using our currency as the base currency of Asia. However, in contact with Britain and the United States, we are far inferior to them in terms of currency stability and currency influence at this stage. At the Bretton Woods meeting, the United States is using the dollar and gold Linked to let the US dollar become the base currency of the world. We are unable to compete with the US dollar at this stage, and more importantly, we are still in the stage of financial development. Therefore, we cannot let go of Asia and let the US dollar also obtain the status of the base currency in Asia .I mean, isolate the US dollar from Asia and surround Asia with our currency. After we have enough strength, we will slowly open up the financial and currency markets in Asia."
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"Chairman, if we want to isolate currencies such as the US dollar and the British pound from Asia, then we must have our own financial system within Asia. This system must strictly control the circulation of foreign currencies such as the US dollar and the British pound." .”
After Duan Xun finished his suggestion, let everyone discuss it.
Hear everyone's opinions.
This is not the first time Duan Xun has said these words. As early as when the "China Federation" was established, the Supreme Committee had already discussed this aspect.It's just that more specific measures are needed now, and the scale has expanded a lot.
Kang Xinru, who is the president of the Bank of China, opened her mouth to express her opinion, and continued: "So my suggestion is that we need to designate a bank, a banking institution that can exchange RMB for currencies other than Asian countries. What we need to do is any country, mainly If European and American currencies such as U.S. dollars and British pounds are to flow into Asia, the first thing to do is to exchange these currencies for RMB. Then, according to the country where the funds will enter, the RMB is exchanged for the currencies of other Asian countries. Similarly, goods from European and American countries enter Asia , the settlement of the payment must be in RMB. When the payment leaves Asia, the RMB is exchanged into US dollars or British pounds. What we have to do is to cut off the channel of direct exchange between Asian currencies and European and American currencies, and cut off the free circulation of European and American currencies in Asia. In this way, according to our plan, Asia’s financial and currency markets can be opened to a limited extent, giving Asia enough time to recover.”
Duan Xun nodded.
I agree with Kang Xinru's proposal very much.
Globalization is not something that can be achieved overnight, on the contrary, it is a very complicated thing.
Historically, after the end of the Second World War, the allies turned their faces faster than expected, and quickly entered a state of cold war.In addition to the confrontation between Britain, the United States and the Soviet Union, there is also France, a relatively independent country in Europe.Although France belongs to Western countries, there are some countries that are free, and their industrial strength is also very strong.
In addition to these countries, there are also populous countries such as China and India that did not participate in the Cold War, nor did they directly join the globalization led by the United States.Moreover, there were many countries participating in the Non-Aligned Movement at that time, and countries with slightly stronger power included India, Yugoslavia, Egypt, and Indonesia.
It can be said that the globalization process led by the United States will take decades to slowly advance.
The great development of globalization in history was after the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the defeat of the socialist camp countries, making the United States the only superpower in the world.After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the United States, as the only superpower in the world, reached a new peak in its hard and soft power.Relying on its strong strength, the United States is pushing globalization.In the end, with China's accession to the WTO as an important event, the process of globalization has achieved great success.However, this kind of globalization did not last long. After more than 20 years, many countries started trade protection again.
Duan Xun also supports globalization, but understands that globalization cannot be completed by signing some treaties with several big countries.
So Duan Xun's idea is to keep China's basic market.China's basic market is Asia. Of course, it does not mean that all Asian countries can become China's basic market.Just like the South Asian countries, that is, the countries that India wants to become independent, not all of them will become China's younger brothers.After all, India has experienced many years of British colonization. The British and the upper echelons of India are inextricably linked. The British influence in India is still very large.It's not like they were independent and Britain lost influence entirely.Britain's colonization was very successful. After independence, many British colonies were still very close to Britain.This cultural colonization is the real success.
And then there's the Middle East.
The most influential country in the Middle East is also the United Kingdom, because it was also a British colony before.But now the United States and the Soviet Union have also begun to intervene in Middle East affairs.The Middle East is not only because of oil fields, but more importantly, the strategic location of the Middle East.The strategic location of the Middle East is very important to Britain, the United States and the Soviet Union.Therefore, whether it is a traditional power like Britain and France, or the three emerging powers of China, the United States and the Soviet Union, they all want to obtain their own interests in the Middle East.As a result, the Middle East issue is very complicated, and it is impossible to follow China's baton.
China's basic disk is East Asian and Southeast Asian countries.
As long as this region is firmly controlled and they become China's supplementary force, then China has the strength to wrestle with any powerful country or force in the world.So what Duan Xun has to do now is to protect his basic market.
Kang Xinru had a very good idea of cutting off the connection between the Asian currency market and Europe and the United States.
Let Asia become a relatively independent economy, then set up a moat in front of the economy, and then develop the strength of this economy.After the economy has a certain ability to resist risks, slowly weaken the role of the moat.
"It's a good idea."
"As for building the RMB as the base currency in Asia, it is necessary to get through the various banks in Asia as soon as possible. Let these banks join in to form a complete settlement system. All trade and capital flows in Asia must go through our established Settlement system, and the flow of this settlement system must be renminbi. But this needs the support of all member states of the Asian Federation.”
Kang Xinru continued to report on the plans of the Bank of China.
The currency settlement system has many aspects.Once the renminbi is to become the base currency in Asia, all banks in Asia must be included in this system, and no fish will slip through the net.Only in this way can the status of RMB base currency be guaranteed.
But this requires the approval of all Asian countries.
After all, banks in all Asian countries have to join this system, which is tantamount to giving up huge financial sovereignty.
"Vice Chairman Dai, what are the cabinet's thoughts on this?"
Duan Xun asked Dai Kan.
The Bank of China formulates China's monetary policy, but the Bank of China is under the command of the cabinet.As the prime minister of the cabinet, Dai Kan must have received reports on these issues long ago, and even did research in this area.
Duan Xun wants to hear what specific measures the cabinet has to advance this plan.
"The cabinet has discussed it. It is planned to hold the Asian joint meeting in advance next year, preferably in April or May, and then get the support of various countries. Before the meeting, we have made all preparations. And we are very confident , because at present our country has four advantages, which can urge Asian countries to agree with our proposal.”
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