Counterattack starts with controlling probability

Professor Hall took a sip of coffee and slowly said:

“First, the core of NeuralTrader-1 is not a simple AI algorithm, but a multi-layered quantitative strategy system that combines biomimetic learning and real-time market adaptation capabilities.”

"It can learn and simulate the operating habits of the world's top traders in a short period of time, and then continuously optimize its own strategies. This is why it can crush those human masters in the competition."

“Its computing power and data collection capabilities allow it to capture market sentiment fluctuations in real time, which is more accurate than traditional trading strategies.”

"Most importantly, it's not an isolated individual, but rather a whole distributed system. Each NeuralTrader can share data with other robots, forming collective intelligence."

Li Hao frowned and replied, "This sounds like an invincible system. Professor, where do you think its weakness lies?"

Professor Hall smiled and said, "Invincible? Not true. This system is indeed powerful, but it is not without its flaws."

"It relies too much on the integrity of real-time and historical data. If the data is biased or interfered with, its decision-making may be problematic."

"Its algorithm is designed based on existing market rules. If market rules suddenly change, such as when extreme policies are introduced, it may not be able to adapt quickly."

“At the same time, it’s good at short-term decision-making, but it still can’t fully simulate human intuition and creativity in long-term investment logic.”

Li Hao nodded thoughtfully. "So, as long as we find its data blind spots or guide changes in market rules, we might be able to defeat it?"

"That's the theory," Professor Hall said, looking up with a hint of anticipation. "However, this requires a very precise intervention strategy and a deep understanding of market dynamics."

"So, Lee, what are you going to do now?"

Li Hao pondered for a moment and said slowly:

"NeuralTrader-1's algorithm should be publicly traceable. I can start with its strategy model and find its logical blind spots. Then, combined with the resources I have, I can create some market noise that it can't identify."

Professor Hall smiled. "Interesting. However, I suggest you observe it for a while longer to see how it performs under different market conditions. Perhaps you'll gain more insights."

Li Hao nodded. "Okay, I'll proceed with caution. This time I also want to use a more systematic approach to deal with it, or rather, defeat it!"

……

After coming out of Professor Hall's office, Li Hao's mind was working fast.

He knew that the emergence of NeuralTrader-1 was not just a technological shock, but also a comprehensive market challenge.

He had to take action, and his team was his most reliable support.

"Everyone, the situation this time is not simple." In order to communicate with the team as soon as possible, Li Hao quickly held a video conference. The figures of Xu Lei, Ji Shuqiang and Chen Kai appeared on the screen in turn.

Xu Lei pushed his glasses up. "Li Hao, I've also looked at the information on NeuralTrader-1. It's really quite impressive. Not only is it powerful, but even more impressive is its ability to capture market sentiment. I'm a little worried it might gradually become a bellwether for the market."

"That's right. It's like a magnifying glass, magnifying any slight market disturbance infinitely." Ji Shuqiang took over the conversation. "If we don't respond in advance, we will be overturned by it sooner or later."

Chen Kai smiled and said, "Okay, stop scaring yourself. We haven't come here for nothing. Brother Hao, what fantastic plans do you have this time? Don't hide them."

Li Hao smiled and said, "There is a plan. However, this time we have to attack from two aspects."

"First, we need to find weaknesses in NeuralTrader-1's strategy model. Second, we need to expand our team first. Otherwise, no one will implement even the best strategies."

"Speaking of expanding the team, Brother Hao, do you have any candidates?" Chen Kai asked.

"Candidates?" Li Hao raised his eyebrows. "There are talented people everywhere in the United States. We have to use some tricks to recruit them."

"How do we recruit?" Xu Lei was a little curious. "We are outsiders now, and there is no guarantee that anyone will be willing to work with us."

"Hey, that's up to me." Li Hao smiled mysteriously. "We'll recruit from the industry, targeting those who have achieved some success but haven't yet made it big. We'll provide them with resources, a platform, and money. So, are we afraid no one will come?"

In the next few days, Li Hao visited many people non-stop.

Through Professor Hall's recommendation, he came into contact with some young quantitative analysts in the United States.

Although these people have ordinary backgrounds, they are all very capable and are worried about not having a bigger platform to display their talents.

"I've read your research report. The logic is clear and the data is very accurate," Li Hao said to a young man named Kevin. "But, isn't the room for growth at your current company too limited?"

Kevin hesitated a little: "Mr. Li, your company is in Daxia, which is too far from here. I'm afraid..."

"Who told you we're only in Daxia? I just acquired a quantitative fund here, and you can directly join our local team." Li Hao changed the subject and added with a smile, "Besides, I can guarantee that the resources and development opportunities here are definitely ten times better than where you are now."

Kevin's eyes lit up: "So...what about the salary?"

"What you want should never be worse than what your current employer offers. It can only be better."

As soon as Li Hao finished speaking, Kevin shook his hand without hesitation: "Deal!"

Li Hao has similar conversations almost every day.

A week later, his local team gradually took shape: there were technical experts, market analysts, and several veterans who were familiar with the rules of the US market.

"This is more like it." Li Hao nodded with satisfaction at the list.

After the new team was formed, Li Hao convened a meeting for all staff.

The newcomers who had just joined the team were a little reserved, but Li Hao did not put on airs. Instead, he started the conversation in a relaxed tone:

"Everyone, I know you've heard a lot about NeuralTrader-1. Honestly, this guy is amazing, but he's not a god. We can definitely find a way to surpass him."

"The key is that each of you is now part of the team, and your talents determine our future. Remember, we are not here to catch up, but to create miracles." Li Hao said word by word with a firm gaze.

The newlyweds in the audience were so excited that many of them nodded frequently.

After several weeks of running-in, this team, which brought together experts from all walks of life, officially entered the capital market of the United States with the proprietary funds of Xinxing Zhitou.

Their goal is clear: to follow the yield curve and prove themselves with performance.

"Everyone, this is our team's debut, so we have to do a great job!" Li Hao raised his arms and shouted at the meeting, and the team's morale was high.

In the first few days of operation, the team implemented the strategy in an orderly manner.

Funds flowed rapidly into the U.S. stock and futures markets, and also entered some high-frequency trading areas.

The market was suddenly shaken up and down by their operations.

"Hey, have you noticed?" a trader exclaimed, staring at the screen. "A new force has entered the market, and their trading style is very aggressive. Even the volatility has been amplified several times."

"Who is it?" A colleague came over. "Could it be Blacklock?"

"No, their methods aren't that wild! I think it's some new player."

"New player? Who's so powerful?"

Soon, word spread like wildfire in the trading circle that a team from Daxia was raising the yield curve at an astonishing speed.

In the team's trading room, the atmosphere was tense and orderly.

Xu Lei stared at the data model on the big screen and kept adjusting the parameters: "There is a risk point here. Ji Shuqiang, please optimize the quantitative model and adjust the weight by 3%."

"Got it!" Ji Shuqiang tapped the keyboard quickly, and the curve on the screen instantly became smoother.

On the other side, Chen Kai sat at the operating table, closely watching the futures market, a smile on his face: "The opponent's reaction was a bit slow this time. The capital flow shows that our operation has worked."

"Don't be too complacent, Xiaokai!" Xu Lei joked, "Although the rate of return has increased, it hasn't reached our target yet."

"Tsk, can't you just praise me?" Chen Kai scolded with a smile, "Alright, add a little more inventory, I want to see how these guys react."

As the yield curve continues to rise, the performance of Li Hao's team has attracted widespread attention in the industry.

"Have you heard? A Daxia team has made a name for themselves in the US market, and their returns are quite impressive."

"Is this true? Aren't all Daxia teams just following the crowd?"

"This time it's different. They really have the talent. I heard they're funded by New Star Investment. This company has been very popular lately."

Discussions continued one after another, but Li Hao's team remained low-key.

They understand that this is just the first step and the real challenge is yet to come.

However, no matter how hard Li Hao's team tried, their results were never able to surpass Blacklock's NeuralTrader-1.

"How on earth did this guy do it?" Ji Shuqiang stared at NeuralTrader's yield curve, gritting his teeth. "It's acting as if it's flawless. It can capture every market fluctuation in advance."

Chen Kai shrugged, his tone filled with dissatisfaction: "Don't be too obsessed. That's a robot that Blacklock spent tens of billions of dollars to build. We're just getting started. Don't compare yourself to it."

Li Hao, however, was much calmer. "Indeed, it's incredibly powerful, but precisely because of this, we need to be more patient. Our current goal isn't to surpass it, but to show the entire market our capabilities."

Although they failed to surpass Blacklock, Li Hao's team's performance was still impressive.

In less than a month, they brought the yield curve to the top 10% of the market.

"Have you heard? The Daxia team has achieved success again. This time, they are really going to take root in the US capital market."

"Yeah, even though he's not as good as Blacklock, he's still impressive."

After returning to the conference room, Li Hao summarized the operation: "Everyone, this is just the beginning. We have attracted enough attention. Next, we need to make the market take notice of us."

Xu Lei nodded: "What's the next step? What big moves do we need to make?"

Li Hao raised his lips and said, "The big stage has just begun. Next, let's see how stable Blacklock can be."