Counterattack starts with controlling probability

The night at Berkeley University was illuminated by lights, and the atmosphere in Professor Hall's office was solemn and tense.

The long table was filled with people, including senior economics professors, experts in data science, and investment veterans who had retired from Wall Street.

Everyone carries a laptop or tablet, and the data charts in front of them are so complicated that it makes people's scalps tingle.

Professor Hall stood at the table, his gaze sweeping across everyone's face. His voice was low but powerful. "Ladies and gentlemen, this is no ordinary market fluctuation. This is a systematic manipulation, from capital allocation to sentiment manipulation. It can be described as a precise financial war. If we don't act, we will see the financial system suffer an unprecedented blow."

"Hall, I've only seen operations of this scale during the financial crisis," said a gray-haired investment veteran, a former executive at a Wall Street hedge fund, his tone tinged with disbelief. "But this time, their operations are not only covert but also spread across multiple markets, making them almost impossible to target."

"Concealment is indeed a problem," another data scientist chimed in, tapping on a nearby notebook. "But their funds have to flow, and they always leave traces. The problem is how to find these key points amidst the noise."

"We need collaboration," Hall said firmly, scanning the room. "Only the data analysis capabilities of academia, combined with the practical experience of the capital markets, can help us crack the code of this storm."

At this time, Li Hao was buried in his desk, with a thick stack of case analysis and market data of the financial crisis at hand.

As he flipped through the pages, he wrote down his thoughts on the screen.

He retrieved records from several major financial crises: the 2008 global financial crisis, the 1997 Asian financial crisis, and the 2011 European sovereign debt crisis.

These crises come in different forms, but they share some commonalities.

"Market sentiment is the fuse." Li Hao muttered to himself and typed these words on the screen.

He noticed that at the beginning of every crisis, the spread of panic accelerated the market collapse, and capital manipulators took advantage of this.

He continued to turn the pages, his fingertips running across a chart: the broken capital chain was the core problem.

Whether it is the collapse of the Thai baht during the Asian financial crisis or the outflow of funds during the European debt crisis, liquidity depletion is often the starting point for the real outbreak of the crisis.

Finally, he stared at the highlighted text on the screen: Precision strike control source.

"If we can directly disrupt these chains of money manipulation, the depth of the crisis may be contained."

Li Hao sat up straight, a glint in his eyes. He quickly compiled these ideas into a preliminary report and sent it to Professor Hall.

The ringing of the cell phone late at night interrupted Li Hao's thoughts. He picked up the phone and heard Professor Hall's voice.

"Li, I've read your report. It's very valuable," Hall said straight to the point. "You capture market sentiment, broken funding chains, and the need to target the source of manipulation very well. But we need a concrete framework for action. What are your thoughts?"

Li Hao pondered for a moment. "Professor, the Abyss Project's layout is too broad, but their operating logic still adheres to the basic rules of the capital market. By using technological means to track the flow and rhythm of funds, we should be able to identify their key nodes. The key is to find these nodes and intervene at the right time."

Hall nodded. "Excellent. But Rising Star Investment alone may not be enough. We need support from relevant resources. I'm contacting data scientists and economists to help us build a more powerful set of analytical tools."

Li Hao then said, "Professor, I'm still researching some historical cases. In every crisis, governments and the investment community have developed effective self-rescue strategies, such as capital injections, account freezes, and coordinated market rescues. I'll sort them out and propose specific solutions based on the current situation."

"Very good." Hall's tone was a little more encouraging. "We must mobilize all our resources this time. Hao, I will do my best to help you. But remember, the fact that they can manipulate multiple markets means their plans are unfathomable. Every step must be taken with extreme caution."

"Understood, Professor." Li Hao gripped his phone tightly. "We must find a way out of this storm sweeping the entire market."

The next morning, Professor Hall's team officially launched the operation.

He assembled a group of top data scientists and began building models to analyze cross-market capital flows.

At the same time, he contacted some well-known academic institutions and financial institutions, hoping to further explore the full picture of the Abyss Project through more data sharing.

On the other hand, Li Hao also accelerated his research progress.

He extracted several key strategies from historical cases, including how to break the capital chain, how to stabilize market sentiment, and how to dismantle the layout of the control source through multi-party linkage.

"This isn't just a simple counterparty transaction issue," Li Hao whispered to the screen. "This is a life-or-death struggle for the rules of the capital market."

The night in Berkeley was quiet as usual.

But the global capital market is like a pot of boiling hot soup, churning violently due to the advancement of the Abyss Project.

The stock market's limit-down wave has not yet completely subsided, and various news and rumors are spreading in the market like a virus, making every investor tread on thin ice.

Amidst this chaos, the presence of various governments gradually emerged.

Financial leaders from around the world have held emergency press conferences in succession, trying to stabilize the panic in the market through words.

In the news center of a European capital, a finance minister in a gray suit stood under the spotlight with a grim expression.

"This is no coincidence," he said in a deep, firm voice. "This is the result of planned and organized manipulation by certain capital forces hidden in the shadows. They exploited the market's fragility and attempted to reap huge profits, but in the end, it was innocent investors and even our national economy who paid the price."

He looked around the room, his gaze sweeping across every reporter like a knife: "No one has ever truly gotten rich by shorting their own country. Even if there is a temporary gain, there will be a greater price to pay in the end. Our government will not sit idly by."

During a live broadcast of financial news from the capital of Daxia, spokespersons for the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the central bank took the podium, their voices etched with anger: "We have noticed a large amount of abnormal capital flows in the market, and these flows are clearly destructive."

“Certain interest groups are attempting to destroy market trust through short selling and malicious manipulation. I want to reiterate that the market is the cornerstone of the national economy, and any attempt to undermine this cornerstone will be resolutely countered!”

At the same time, central banks around the world have begun to take more frequent actions.

Early in the morning on Wall Street, a striking headline popped up on the screen of the financial news channel: "Federal Reserve Emergency Rate Cut by 50BP!"

The camera cuts back to the reporter's live connection: "Although the magnitude of this rate cut is not large, it is of great significance. The Federal Reserve hopes to stimulate market liquidity and curb the current sell-off by lowering borrowing costs."

The European Central Bank followed suit, announcing the launch of a 500 billion euro liquidity injection program to stabilize the sharp fluctuations in the bond market.

A senior representative of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said at an emergency meeting: "The global economy is facing a systemic risk. We call on central banks and governments to strengthen cooperation to prevent the crisis from worsening."

The Asian market is also not far behind.

The central bank of an East Asian country held an impromptu meeting and announced a package of intervention plans, including lowering the benchmark interest rate, intervening in the foreign exchange market, and expanding the scale of open market operations.

“We will not allow external capital to maliciously attack our markets and currency,” the central bank governor said at a press conference. “Market stability is an important part of national economic security.”

The intervention measures of various countries have initially taken effect, the declines in some markets have begun to narrow, and the prices of some high-quality assets have even rebounded slightly.

Financial analysts' comments were tinged with optimism: "The injection of funds and interest rate cuts by central banks have boosted market confidence in the short term, and we are seeing some funds starting to flow back."

However, this respite is only superficial.

The deep-seated panic in the market has not yet dissipated, especially the unknown power behind the Abyss Project, which makes all investors and institutions tread on thin ice.

On social media and investment forums, there was a cry of grief:

“Is this a short-term rebound or a bull trap?”

“Who is manipulating the market? Why did the funds evaporate overnight?”

"Are the central bank's actions effective? Or is it just another drop in the bucket?"

Even some institutional investors are skeptical about the effectiveness of this intervention.

An anonymous fund manager said in an interview: "Although global central banks have acted quickly, the root of the problem lies in the manipulation of capital groups. If we can't track the flow of funds and the strategic chain behind this, all policy interventions will only be temporary."

In the gorgeous room, the trader of the capital group sneered as he watched the news on the screen.

They saw the market's brief stabilization, but there was no sign of stopping their operations.

"Let them cut interest rates and inject capital," the trader scoffed, telling the analyst beside him, "The logic of the capital market has never been dictated by policy. We just need to wait for the right moment and turn this rebound into the beginning of another round of harvest."

At this time in the Berkeley dormitory, Li Hao was also paying attention to changes in the global market.

Although the statements and policies of various countries have temporarily eased the situation, he knows that the operations of capital groups will not stop.

"This is just superficial calm and temporary stability. The core of the storm is still brewing." Li Hao muttered to himself, his fingers tapping the keyboard quickly to retrieve more data.

He knew that the true intention of the Abyss Project had not yet been fully exposed, and he needed to find the key point to break this plan.