Manhattan Reborn 1978

On the Pacific Ocean, Hawaii.

Evening~

398 Corudilla Avenue, Honolulu Island.

David stood by the window of the study on the second floor, looking at his family and friends sitting around on the lawn outside and chatting happily, and he felt much more relaxed.

He had just received a call from Kanes Rothschild and Bill Gutherland and learned the good news.

After Carnes and the others returned to Europe, they tried their best to purchase nearly 22 million meters of crude oil spot from the British North Sea oil fields and the oil fields in Sicily, Italy, at a price of [-] meters per barrel.

Moreover, this batch of spot goods has been shipped to temporary storage locations in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, and Naples, Italy. As long as David sends the money, the transaction will be completed smoothly~

this. .What can David, who never expected that his plan would be executed smoothly, say?

Are you calling them crazy for their incredible execution? !

Emm. .

David turned around and walked to the table, picked up the phone, thought about it, and dialed a series of familiar numbers.

----

new York.

It's approaching midnight~

Manhattan, top floor of the Blue Crystal Hotel.

Giles Norton Morgan kept "burying" himself in various folders after dinner, as if he wanted to find some answers from these historical data.

His partner Pine put down a folder in his hand, frowned and thought for a moment, and asked.

"Those OPEC countries want to make quick money from the sharp increase in crude oil spot prices after the crisis in Iran, so they will ask people to buy spot crude oil at high prices in Singapore."

"But when I attended a meeting at Rockefeller Center today, many people were not optimistic that the price of international crude oil spot prices could soar four times or even five times as it did when the last crisis broke out."

"David is very sure that the oil price will break through the 40-meter-per-barrel price mark?"

Giles used a pen to record the few data he had just found in the notebook next to him. He tilted his head and glanced at him, shrugging.

"When he was in London, he was forced by his father and Uncle Julie to agree on a price of 45 meters per barrel."

"Bloomer and I went to Hawaii this time, and he even complained to us about it~"

"..."

Of course, Pine knew what happened when David went to London last time and attended a cocktail party held at Whistler's house. He was surrounded by three old men and was forced to ask questions. .

But he still felt a little strange that David could accurately predict the rise in oil prices and gold prices based only on information from the public media, and also told the highest price. . ?

this. .It’s no longer a prediction! ?

"You went to see him this time. Did you talk about anything else?"

"Of course ~ we talked a lot."

"Forehead.."

Pine smiled speechlessly at Giles' simple answer, put the folder in his hand aside, and asked.

"Specifically?"

"Can you tell me everything?"

"Well.."

Giles didn't even raise his head, picked up a folder, threw it to Pine, and said.

"He said: All the answers were actually before us in the early stages of the last oil crisis."

"It's just that we all underestimated the extent of the crisis this time, and we still had some luck, thinking that the same mistakes would not happen again~"

"so.."

"look!"

Giles threw his record book to Pine again and said to himself.

“From the middle of 1970 to the end of 1972, data retained by the New York Fed showed that domestic economic growth was almost stagnant + the unemployment rate soared + people’s consumer demand plummeted + prices rose slightly, etc. .”

"They all show that China's rapid economic growth period in the decades after World War II has begun to accelerate downward from its peak!"

"But what about the stock market at that time?"

"But it showed no sign of being affected. Instead, it went out of a wave of continuous rising prices, causing many uninformed people to invest money in the stock market, hoping to make a fortune when the market was good."

Giles closed the folder in his hand, picked out another one from the pile of folders around him, opened it and continued.

"In the stock market, the stock prices of many large companies, represented by NiftyFifty, had already begun to enter a reversal period from rising to falling before the first oil crisis broke out~"

"After the crisis broke out, the stock prices of Nifty 50 companies were among the stocks that fell the most in the entire stock market."

"So, judging from the timeline of these historical macro data, first of all, various countries around the world have fallen into the predicament of economic downturn and rising inflation, which has caused stock market prices in various countries to fluctuate downward."

"The subsequent oil crisis only accelerated this process and pushed hard behind it."

"This situation does not only happen here in the United States. The Hong Kong stock market in Asia fell even worse during the last oil crisis."

“香江股市的恒生指数，从73年3月最高的1774点，一路下跌到74年12月的最低点，171点。。”

“And the Federal Reserve’s slow performance in the last crisis also amplified its influence on the domestic stock market after the crisis broke out~”

"Ok!"

Pine looked through the record book in his hand, quickly combined the current situation, and tried to continue his analysis.

"So, today, five years later, even if the domestic economic data in the past two years have hit the bottom, and there are some signs of an imminent rebound, it still cannot dissuade the people who made huge profits from the last speculation. , give up this huge opportunity?!"

"That's right!"

Giles played with the pencil with his fingertips, gave Pine a weird smile, and said.

"We might as well use David's habitual way of thinking from someone else's perspective, put ourselves into the position of the leader of an OPEC country, and then make predictions based on the current international situation and market sentiment~"

"In 72, the international oil price was only 1 meters per barrel."

"In January 73, oil prices rose a lot, nearly 1 meters per barrel."

"At the end of 73, oil prices soared to 12 meters per barrel."

"Over 74, the oil price has even reached nearly 14 meters per barrel..."

"What about this time?"

“When we experienced a surge in income caused by the surge in oil prices~”

"Will we miss this opportunity?"

“There are no so-called public trading rules in the current international crude oil spot market~”

“Who are the bulls on oil prices?”

“Who are the bears on oil prices?”

"Who can be a neutral third party that can guarantee the interests of both parties to the transaction?"

"You said someone would take the initiative to speak out publicly in order to curb the irrational surge in international crude oil prices?"

"Certainly not!"

Giles tapped the folder next to him twice with the pencil in his hand: "Before leaving Hawaii, David sighed to us~"

"He said: Investment is a game of witnessing miracles and identifying lies."

"History always shows striking similarities!"

"After we have seen too many similar tragedies and comedies, the only thing we can be sure of is..."

"On the stage of history, the most classic scripts have always been performed over and over again~"

"No exceptions!"

"So, if we can find some undiscovered patterns from past classic scripts, we can take the initiative and become the protagonist on the new stage!"

"..." Pine looked at Giles, smiling with some joy and relief in his eyes.

"Then let's help him again?"

"Um...what can I help you with?"

"It's okay ~ you continue."

"I'm going back to rest first."

"Oh~ good night!"

"Ah."

Pine, gone.

Holding the folder in his hand, Giles walked to the place where Pine had just done, picked up his notebook, turned to a blank page, and wrote on it: corn, sugar cane, sweet sorghum, cassava, wheat!

----

The southernmost tip of the Manhattan Peninsula.

In an apartment building near the Twin Towers of the World Trade Center.

Bernard Madoff, who was wearing pajamas, poured two glasses of water from the kitchen and returned to the living room, and curiously asked the "midnight visitor" Mr. Otis Parker.

"Is there something urgent you want me to do?"

"Um.."

Mr. Parker did not answer him immediately, but complained in a joking tone.

"I haven't been as busy as I have been in recent months for several years~"

"David really thinks of me as... Superman!"

Madoff stroked his hair with his hand and smiled: "You should think so~"

"It's better to be busy than to be busy with nothing!"

Mr. Parker raised his eyebrows and smiled in agreement: "That's right!"

"Hahaha~"

After a few simple jokes.

Mr. Parker directly got to the point: "David is planning to integrate all the companies under his name into a comprehensive asset management company."

Bernard Madoff was stunned for two seconds, then quickly thought of something and continued.