Manhattan Reborn 1978

new York.

Early morning~

Manhattan, 875 Fifth Avenue, 15th floor.

Mag Ludwig opened his dry eyes and reached out to touch his side. .But I came up empty~

in the kitchen.

Janet Patrick, wearing a floral apron, skillfully prepared a nutritious breakfast while listening to the news on the radio.

After briefly washing up, Mag walked behind Janet, put his arms around her waist, held her slightly bulging belly with both hands, and whispered in her ear.

"Morning~ my angel!"

"Hahahaha~" Janet turned down the fire at hand, turned around and gave Mag a deep kiss, smiling.

"Stop making trouble~ Breakfast will be ready soon!"

"Ok!"

"I just have to make a phone call. You don't have to wait for me when you've finished it."

"Telephone?"

"In a hurry?"

"Yeah~" Mag kissed Janet, turned around and left the kitchen without explaining too much.

. . .

ten minutes later.

in the restaurant.

Janet asked curiously as she looked at Mag walking out of the study.

"what happened to you?"

Mag, with a calm face and a furrowed brow, sat down and slowly shook his head and said, "I want... let's start!"

"..Um?"

"What started?"

Mag picked up the milk cup and drank it all in one go. Then he took a deep breath and said, "Odis Parker, the people sent to Iran sent news."

"The King of Iran Pahlavi...ran away quietly~"

"Ran?"

"Where can he... run to?"

“Run out of Iran!”

"..hiss~"

"You mean King Pahlavi... he was kicked out of the country he ruled?!"

"..Haha~"

Mag cut a piece of bacon on the plate with a table knife, tilted his head with a weird smile, and said to Janet.

"When I met with Odis Parker a few days ago, the guy said a lot of things that sounded very strange..."

"Just now, he said a lot of strange things on the phone~"

"Tell me, is his illness...?"

"Sick? What kind of sickness?"

"Psycho?"

"..Um!"

"Hahahaha~"

Janet was so amused that she leaned forward and backward with laughter. She pointed at Mag and asked out of breath.

"You wouldn't just ask him that on the phone, would you?"

"That's not true~"

"However, looking back on some of the things he said now, it seems..."

"What did he say?"

"..."

Mag lowered his head and chewed the food in his mouth. He was silent for a moment, shook his head slightly, and changed the topic.

"I'll go to him to talk things over later, and then rush to Washington..."

"But didn't we just come back from Washington?"

"Um.."

"Okay~" Janet didn't ask any more questions, just stretched out her hand to hold Mag's hand and looked at him lovingly.

----

Manhattan.

Rockefeller Center, 56th floor.

Paul Samuelson, one of the leading figures in American economics, sat opposite his old friend David with a smile and spread his hands.

“1637年、1797年、1819年、1837年、1884年、1901年、1907年、1929年、1937年、1974年。。”

"Whether we believe it or not~"

"Ever since the advent of economics...or sociology, this kind of cyclical and irregular fluctuations in economic development has been repeated over and over again~"

"We tried to predict it, change it, slow it down, control it..."

"But we've never really been able to change anything!"

"We can only face it."

"Because economic development itself has certain objective laws."

"Finance, as an important branch of the economic field, also has natural cycles of ebb and flow similar to..."

"But~"

"Financial cycle theory, its most important research objects are not just economic data, economic environment, international situation, etc.~"

“It has to consider the human factor more!”

When Old David heard this, he couldn't help but raised his eyebrows and asked.

"You want to say...the concept of rational people?"

"That's right~"

The smile on Professor Samuelson's face had disappeared. He turned to look at the window not far away and whispered.

"The rational man in economics has never appeared around us."

"Human nature has always been an important catalyst driving the ups and downs of the financial cycle."

"No individual or group can turn the tide and change this pattern in a crisis!"

"Even JP Morgan in 1907 couldn't do it alone!"

"..." Old David smiled noncommittally and continued to listen quietly to the advice of his old friend Professor Samuelson.

"When a crisis happens, there are always winners and losers."

"But with the development of the times, more and more people are able to participate in making certain important decisions. The periodicity of this pattern has also become more difficult to predict~"

"But as Gustave Le Pen mentioned in his book "The Crowd"~"

“We live in a society where the ratio of losers to winners almost never changes every time a crisis hits!”

"Because it is essentially the result of people's group consciousness making choices from their own perspective!"

"It was like this more than 200 years ago, it is like this now, and it will be like this in the future~"

"So, those concerns you just raised, in my opinion, are completely overly optimistic."

"Pahlavi II escaped from Iranian territory, and Khomeini's attitude towards us will, to some extent, determine the future of the United States and Iran!"

"Although OPEC members are secretly actively increasing crude oil production after Iran announced it would stop exporting crude oil, they will not sell their crude oil stocks and enter the international market to seize share."

"Reluctant to sell! It is more in line with their interests to wait for a higher price before selling!"

"The surge in oil prices in 74 was their best example of success."

Professor Samuelson suddenly showed a smile, picked up the coffee cup and asked with a smile: "I remember you told me that David used the term "oil weapon" to evaluate the crisis a few years ago. ?”

"Yes." Old David smiled, narrowed his eyes, and nodded.

"Have you received any latest news?"

"Ok!"

Old David nodded solemnly: "This morning, someone released news on the international crude oil spot market, offering unlimited purchases at a price of 29 meters per barrel."

"Oh?"

"Where is the transaction location?"

"Singapore."

"Where was the price yesterday?"

"26 meters!"

"..." Professor Paul Samuelson took a deep breath and asked again with twinkling eyes.

"Is there any news from OPEC member countries?"

"Not yet~"

"They haven't made any decision yet. Isn't that the best news?"

"Hehe~"

"Not bad!"

Professor Samuelson stood up, walked to the window, and looked up at the rising sun in the sky.

"Old Morgan, this time... he bets again!"

"What about you? Didn't you place a bet with him?"

"Of course!"

Old David also stood up and walked to his old friend, raised his head slightly and looked at the morning sun, and whispered with some sigh.

"Old Morgan mentioned his plan to acquire 1 million barrels of crude oil spot in front of my second brother Nelson."

"But long before he took the initiative to reveal this plan, he had already bought a large amount of spot goods from crude oil futures brokers."

"So based on today's market quotation, his investment has nearly doubled~"

"Yes!"

"But it's just doubled..."

"If it were you, would you choose to stop now?"

"..." Old David smiled but said nothing.

Professor Samuelson also seemed to know that he would not get an answer. .

He put his hands on the window sill, quietly looked at the not dazzling morning sun, and whispered.

"Maybe I should go to Houston for you."

After a moment of silence, Old David nodded and said, "Okay!"

----

Wall Street, Stanley [-]th Floor.

As soon as Sam Rogers walked into the office with his briefcase, he found Giles Norton Morgan's partner Pine already sitting in the office waiting for him.

"Morning~Mr. Pine!"

"Morning, Sam!"

Sam and Pine greeted each other casually, sat down and chatted briefly.

Pine clearly didn't want to waste time and went straight to the point and told some of the latest news.

After listening, Sam suppressed his strong curiosity, thought for a while, and asked.

"When I drove to the gas station to refuel yesterday morning, I heard a few people complaining and discussing with the gas station owner... Will the price of gasoline increase in a few days?"

"Yes~"

Pine nodded with a smile and said: "Domestic oil prices may be adjusted upward within three days."

"It is estimated that those private gas stations will not sell large quantities of gasoline today and tomorrow."

"So, if you have a friend, you can get some more gasoline from him in case you need it~"