Manhattan Reborn 1978

On the Pacific Ocean, Hawaii.

Near noon.

398 Corudilla Avenue, Honolulu Island.

On the second floor, in the study.

When Giles and Bloomer pushed the door in, they happened to see David standing by the window looking out, but Tilda Swinton was not in the room.

Giles glanced at his "slumped" friend Bloomer, walked to the chair and sat down and asked.

"You...have a rest?"

"Ok!"

"Can I see the manuscript?"

"Whatever~"

Giles picked up the manuscript next to the mechanical typewriter, looked through it, and asked.

"How many big chapters did you originally plan to write?"

"Six!"

David rubbed his forehead with his hands, turned around and walked to Giles, pointing to the notebook on the table and explained.

"I spent the morning just barely finishing the outline of the first two chapters..."

"In terms of details, we still need to carefully proofread various data and search for relevant information."

"So I plan to have Professor John Nash and his wife come over in the afternoon to help me complete a few mathematical formulas in the book, and then I will outline the contents of the next four chapters."

"Oh~ It looks like this is a big project?"

"Yes~"

"It will take me at least two days to write all the outlines, and it will take at least a month to fill in the details~"

"If you feel bored, you can..."

"No~ I'll stay with you!" Tilda, who appeared at the door at some point, shook her head very simply and said softly.

"Uh..." Giles and Bloomer looked at each other, thought about it, and couldn't help but ask.

"Are you going to finish writing it here... and then go back to New York?"

"That's not true~" David picked up the juice cup and took a sip, smiling.

"But I feel... there are too many things that will disturb me when I return to New York~"

“Writing here makes me feel more relaxed and faster~”

"...Okay~"

"Then let's come over tonight?"

"Of course ~ anytime!"

"ok~"

. . .

Giles and Bloomer, gone.

Tilda put down the water glass she was carrying, sat behind the typewriter, flexed her fingers a few times, and smiled at David.

"Let's continue!?"

"Ok!"

. . .

Afternoon~

Honolulu International Airport.

Mr. and Mrs. Giovanni, Madonna, Miranla and John Rambo, who came from New York, just walked out of the passenger passage when they saw the butler Acklade who was wearing a floral shirt.

Madonna, wearing a pair of big sunglasses and chewing gum, trotted up to Ackleide very excitedly, gave him a big hug, and joked.

"Are you finally willing to stop wearing that stuffy formal suit?"

"Yeah~" Butler Acklade smiled and nodded, pointing to the floral shirt he was wearing.

“It’s our formal wear in Hawaii!”

"Hahaha~" Several people who followed Madonna laughed.

John Rambo, who was walking at the back of the group, felt a little strange and looked towards a corner in the distance. His eyes hidden behind his sunglasses stared at the middle-aged man who was pretending to look around for a while.

Demais Ode, a retired security consultant from the Secret Service invited by the security company training base, once said this when he was training One-Eyed Andres, Black Mike, Lavis and others. .

"The most important thing about security work...is not that you have to stand up at critical moments and take bullets for the protected target~"

"But we need to be very careful and good at observing and discovering, and solve the vast majority of potential safety hazards in advance!"

"Otherwise, when an accident occurs, no matter how well the security work is done, various loopholes will appear, causing things that no one wants to see."

Therefore, after John Rambo learned that this mission was to be responsible for David's daily security work, he bought a pair of large sunglasses that could block half of his face. .

But what he didn't expect was that as soon as he got off the plane, he found a "suspicious person"!

. . .

After Giovanni chatted with the butler Aclade for a few words, he pulled Rambo, who was "grinding" behind him, and introduced him.

"This is John Rambo."

"Hmm~"

"Hello, Mr. Rambo!"

"Um..Hello!"

"You can call me Ackleide~ Our car is parked... shall we go there now?"

"...Okay!" Rambo touched his glasses with his hand, tilted his mouth and smiled, nodding.

"ok~!"

"Please come with me~ You will definitely like it here!"

"Wow~ Hahaha!"

"Let's go!"

"Go, go, go!" Madonna, wearing a vest and hot pants, excitedly waved to several people and jumped behind Ackleide. .

. . .

The sun sets~

Dinner time.

David warmly entertained several people who had just arrived on the island in the restaurant on the first floor.

Giles and Bloomer, holding cups in their hands, kept looking at Miranella Webster, who seemed to be exuding "joy", secretly thinking that there was going to be a good show again. .

But what surprised them both. .

David didn't seem to see it at all. .Miranla looked at him with a look that was like "substance"~

Instead, he made a joke to Giovanni and his wife.

"Hey~ man, I found a long-lost sister for Jin Ji!"

"You do not mind right?"

"What? Sister?"

With a big question mark hanging on his forehead, Giovanni looked at his wife Jin Ji beside him and asked, "Do you have any sisters I don't know?"

"...No~" Jin Ji also looked at David with a blank expression, not knowing what he was talking about.

"Hahaha~" David smiled, raised his eyebrows, and asked the butler Aclade who was standing aside.

"Michelle Pfeiffer, when will you arrive?"

"It should be soon~"

"Shall I go check at the door?"

"Ok!"

"..." The Giovannis saw David's somewhat mysterious look and simply stopped asking further questions.

Madonna put a piece of fish meat into her mouth with a cutlery, her eyes quickly swept over everyone, and finally landed on the "quiet" Tilda Swinton.

Tilda noticed her gaze, smiled politely at her in a very ladylike manner, lowered her head and continued to eat the dishes on the plate quietly. .

David saw that everyone was having dinner with different expressions and was a little embarrassed, so he smiled at Professor John Nash and his wife Alicia, who were obviously tanned.

"I made an agreement with Klein, the original owner of this vacation home, to establish a venture capital firm in San Francisco, California."

"He has a wide network of contacts in Silicon Valley and knows many people in the industry who are doing venture capital in Silicon Valley~"

"So I thought... Alicia, if you have any friends who want to join this industry, can you introduce us to them?"

Alicia smiled and nodded: "Okay~"

"An old friend of mine told me about changing to a more interesting job!"

"When you return to New York, can I introduce him to you?"

"Ok!"

David put a piece of cut steak into his mouth and said.

"Professor Nash, I plan to... write your equilibrium theory into my book!"

"...?!" Professor Nash, who had been eating silently, looked at David in surprise and asked.

"You mean...?"

"Yes!"

David amplified his voice slightly, glanced at John Rambo, who was sitting far away, nodded to him, and smiled.

"The game and analysis of monetary policy is to use game theory methods to analyze macro-financial game issues."

"Your two papers in 50 and 51 defined non-cooperative games and their equilibrium solutions in a general sense, and proved that equilibrium really exists!"

"So in my opinion, its emergence basically laid the foundation for modern mainstream non-cooperative game theory and new era economic theory!"

"The Nash equilibrium named after you will set off a relatively mild theoretical revolution in the next 20 years, or even longer!"

"Non-cooperative game theory will allow all economists or economists to establish a normative center in terms of economic methodology, language, concepts, etc. according to its theoretical principles!!"

After hearing David's words, Giles deliberately nodded to Tilda and threw a look at Bloomer beside him.

Bloomer thought for a while and asked as if he was trying to "cooperate" with David.

"The next 20 years?"

"But the current economics profession is still at..."

"Yeah~" David looked at Blumer with a smile and nodded.

"In 76, Milton Friedman, the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, founded the monetarist theory and proposed the permanent income hypothesis."

"The 77 winners, Gotthard Betty Ohlin and James Edward Meade, have gained wide recognition in the industry for their pioneering research on international trade theory and international capital flows!"

"Last year's winner, Herbert Alexander Simon (Sima He), is for his research on decision-making procedures within economic organizations. This basic theory about decision-making procedures is recognized as a creative insight into the actual decision-making of companies and enterprises. I just won this award~”

"If we follow the current mainstream development trend in the economics field, the judges of the Nobel Prize in Economics in the next few years will most likely award the award to..."

"Experts and scholars who have made pioneering and in-depth research in the development of economics~"

"For example: among the various current schools of economics, the focus is on the actual economic effective data as a basis for theoretical research and the establishment of mathematical models of the economic system."

"Or made important contributions to Keynes' series of theories and macroeconomic mathematical models of monetary policy, and to the analysis of financial markets and related aspects."

"But~"

“As I just said, Nash equilibrium theory does not avoid direct interactions between economic individuals, and is not satisfied with simplistic treatment of complex economic relationships between economic individuals. When analyzing problems, it does not only stay at the macro level but also In-depth analysis of the deep-seated causes and laws behind the appearance, emphasizing the discovery of the root causes of problems from the perspective of micro-level individual behavioral laws, allows for a more profound and accurate understanding and explanation of economic issues."

"Non-cooperative game theory studies the strategic responses of participants when facing individual interactions with conflicts of interest. Given a conflict of interest, each participant must make a choice from a given set of choices."

"Each participant's choice strategy will have some established preferences. The choices of all participants determine the outcome of the game."

"However, the original economics lacks effective methods to model the interactions between uncertainty factors, changing environmental factors and economic individuals, and therefore cannot conduct anatomical analysis of micro-level economic problems."

"If we talk about it more specifically, it is... In an equilibrium game in a non-cooperative situation and in the relationship between supply and demand, if a certain commodity market is at a certain price, everyone who wants to buy the commodity at this price can buy it. , and everyone who wants to sell can sell it, at this time we say that the supply and demand of the commodity have reached equilibrium."

"But in our lives, it happens often... There are many people who want to sell at a high price, and even more people who want to buy at a low price..."

"For example, the reorganization of assets between enterprises through acquisitions, mergers and other methods to achieve a win-win strategy is a realistic manifestation of game equilibrium."

"Another example: In the decision-making and implementation process of monetary policy, there is the problem of dynamic inconsistency."

“As the main body of the game, the Federal Reserve Bank of America has made the optimal decision about the future at present, but when it is implemented, it is no longer the optimal decision for the Federal Reserve Bank of America because of the time lag of the policy. The Fed must make adjustments to this decision in order to maintain its credibility and ensure that public expectations do not drop again."

"Like in previous years, the Federal Reserve changes its monetary policy every once in a while, and it will only get worse."

"Therefore, before certain public expectations are formed, the Federal Reserve must promise to implement a single policy without any change until it achieves the results expected by the public, in order to regain public confidence, stability and public influence."

After David said this, he looked at Professor Nash with a smile and asked very sincerely.

"Can I include some superficial understanding of your Nash equilibrium theory and some practical cases that I have come up with in the book?"

"...Okay!" Professor Nash nodded with mixed emotions of excitement and apprehension in his eyes.

"Hahahaha~Thank you!"

David raised his glass to Professor Nash and his wife: "Tomorrow happens, I want everyone to help me do a social experiment to provide actual data for the equilibrium theory in the book~"

"We'll all go to the study room later and have a nice chat!"

"Cheers~"

"Cheers!" Professor Nash and his wife said with a smile as they picked up their wine glasses.

Giles and Bloomer, somewhat puzzled by their bad friend's weird "breaking" method, also raised their glasses. .

Although the rest of the people didn't quite understand what David just said. .But he also raised his glass~

. . .

night~

The bright moon hangs high.

In the study room on the second floor.

David took out some of his manuscripts for Professor Nash and his wife, nodded to Tilda who was sitting in front of the typewriter, and looked at the two best friends who ran over to "watch", and smiled.

"The famous economist Alfred Marshall said this as early as when he published the first edition of "Principles of Economics"~"

"There are two major research paths in economics: one is along the equilibrium thought derived from classical Newtonian mechanics; the other is along the evolutionary thought derived from ecology."

"Using Brouwer's fixed point theorem of topology in the field of mathematics to prove the existence of Nash equilibrium is definitely a groundbreaking economic research!"

“Because with the in-depth development of classical game theory, ecological theory and psychological theoretical research, especially the psychologist Herbert Alexander Simon, he directly applied his research results in the field of psychology to economic analysis, and thus gained Nobel Prize in Economics..."

"This will greatly inspire economic and sociologists to explain economic and social phenomena based on real human behavior!"

"And the social experiment I want to arrange tomorrow is to provide reliable and objective data support for theoretical research in this area!"

David walked behind the table, picked up a pen and wrote a few lines on the paper while saying.

"We all know that The Economist is the most well-known international current affairs magazine."

"It has a very influential readership in many countries around the world~"

"Then we might as well use it as an example and do an experiment!"

"Look~"

"We assume that the half-year subscription fee for The Economist magazine is about 29 yuan."

"The booking fee for the whole year is 59 yuan, plus a free issue: a year-end special issue contributed by well-known experts, scholars and celebrities and politicians from various countries."

"Let you choose~Which subscription package will you choose?"

David looked at the Nash couple and made a gesture of invitation to them.

Professor Nash glanced at his wife Alicia and smiled: "All year round!"

"Me too~" Alicia echoed with a smile.

"Uh...us too!" Giles and Bloomer looked at each other and agreed.

"...Me too!" Tilda, sitting behind the typewriter, thought for a while and finally gave the answer.

"Ok!"

David took back the "Subscription Catalog" in his hand with great satisfaction, modified it again, and asked again.

"Suppose: the conditions such as the cost of half-year and full-year subscriptions remain unchanged ~ we add another two-year subscription, and we can get the option of a preferential price of 105 yuan, and then add the previous issue for free, which is the most popular content among readers within two years. Edit content for a special issue..."

"Which one will you choose?"

"Uh..." Professor Nash blinked, somewhat understood what David meant, and said immediately with a smile.

"I choose the two-year term!"

"Me too!"

"me too.."

"Hahaha~"

"Ok!"

"Then let's change the benefits of advance booking!"

"Suppose: We don't provide any free special issues, but just lower the different subscription prices a little bit~"

"How would you choose?"

"...One year!"

"I choose two years."

"One year!"

"I... choose half a year!"

"Huh?" David looked at the "different" Tilda in surprise and asked.

"Why did you choose half a year?"

"Because... I rarely read these magazines. I only read them occasionally after buying them..."

“It’s useless to subscribe too many!”

"Not bad!" David gave Tilda a thumbs up and continued in agreement.

"The purpose of this experiment is to combine psychology, economics, sociology, human behavior and other disciplines to study people's rational and irrational predictions when making decisions or choices!"

"Like the little experiment we did just now, Tilda's choice is very representative~"

“She usually doesn’t pay special attention to The Economist magazine, let alone pay attention to the new activities launched by their magazine~”

"But this time, she heard about the subscription promotion of The Economist magazine from me. She felt that it was very cost-effective, so she directly chose to subscribe without thinking about when she would take it seriously after getting these magazines. Read them..."

"So, the subscription plan I proposed is itself an irrational prediction trap set for the readership!"

"The real data it finally obtained represents..."

"Bell bell~"

Just when David was talking about the most "high", he was suddenly interrupted by a rapid ringing of the phone. .

David looked at the phone in a daze, shrugged at a few people with a wry smile, picked up the phone and said.

"Hello~"

"Can you wait 10 minutes and call me again?"

"Uh... Mag?"

"What's your hurry?"

"...Okay~"

"you say!"

"Um.."

"Yeah! We've met..."

"Yes! She is Davis's girlfriend..."

"..ah?!"

"But she..."

"Are you right?"

"What exactly is going on?"

"..ok!"

"Then let's talk later!"

"Ok!"

"I'll wait for your call in an hour."

. . .

David put down the phone with a strange expression, scratched his head with his hand, and looked at his two bad friends. .

Professor Nash's wife, Alicia, reached out and took her husband's arm, stood up and smiled.

"Let's go back and rest first~ Come back tomorrow?!"

"Uh... ok!"

"See you tomorrow morning!"

"Yeah!" Alicia pulled her husband, who was a little unresponsive, nodded to Giles and walked out of the study quickly.

Tilda, who was sitting behind the typewriter, looked at the backs of Professor Nash and his wife, thought for a moment, stood up and walked out, saying.

"I'll go see them off~"

"Oh~ okay!"

David frowned and responded casually. He watched Tilda walk out of the study, walked up to Giles and Bloomer, and asked in a low voice.

"That friend of Klein, Davis..."

"Which of you is familiar with him?"

"...What's wrong with him?" Giles shrugged to show that he wasn't familiar with him, looked at Bloomer and asked.

Seeing that David didn't answer, Bloomer tilted his head, thought for a moment, and said, "I don't know much... What do you want to know about him?"

David smiled in surprise~

He stared at Bloomer for a few seconds and said, "Mag just called and said... Miss Akie Asama next to Davis is an investigator of cid!"

"cid?"

"What is that?" Giles asked as if he had never heard of this abbreviation.

Bloomer's smile disappeared.

He also frowned, looked at David and asked: "Is the news... accurate?"

"It shouldn't be wrong~"

"There was a CIA agent who happened to be on vacation on the island, Pamela Randy, who met Akie Asama by chance while working with cid in Tokyo."

"Hi~"

"Then it should... you can't be wrong!"

Blumer sat back in his chair, rubbed his fingers unconsciously a few times, and whispered.

"About Davis... I won't tell you anymore!"

"Ok?"

"You and him...?" Neither David nor Giles quite understood what Bloomer meant.

Blumer pondered for a few seconds, then slowly shook his head.

"I also heard my dad mention it casually...about Davis."

"But just like you, I just saw him in person for the first time today..."

"So, no matter what the reason why cid sent people to investigate him, it has nothing to do with us!"

"...Okay!" David pulled over a chair and sat down, hanging his arms on the back of the chair, looking at Giles and said.

"Then should we... meet that Miss Pamela Randy?"

"Hehe~"

Giles showed an expression of "I knew you would be like this", curled his lips and said: "When we meet... just meet!"

"You won't suffer any loss anyway..."

"OK! Hahaha~"

"Then I'll listen to you!"

"Why...don't you listen to me on other matters?"

"Cut~"

"If you idiot can come up with one good idea a year, that's great... If I always listen to you, I will be a real idiot!"

"..＠#￥￥……"

"Hey~ Why are you still swearing?"

"Quality!"

"Always pay attention to your personal cultivation and quality!"

"roll!!!"

"Hahahaha~" David pointed at his shamelessness, made a face at Giles, and laughed.

Next to him, Bloomer felt helpless and smiled bitterly when he saw that his two bad friends actually regarded him as a "no problem".

Ps:

Herbert Alexander Simon (Sima He), born in 1916, is a super powerhouse with little reputation!He became an academician of the National Academy of Sciences in 67, the Turing Award in 75, the Nobel Prize in Economics in 78, the National Science Award in 86, etc., a series of awards! )

(In 1994, Sima He was elected as a foreign academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. The Chinese Academy of Sciences is the highest academic institution for natural sciences, the highest consulting agency for science and technology, and a comprehensive research and development center for natural sciences and high technologies in China!)

another:

We are now living in the era of big data. The traces left by everyone on the Internet will be retrieved and recorded by the big database, and information on behavioral preferences and behavioral patterns will be provided for various apps to facilitate those advertising push merchants and compare Accurately delivered to your mobile phone. .

The theoretical basis for analyzing the laws of consumer behavior is a brand-new discipline that combines psychology, economics, sociology, human behavior and many other disciplines: consumer psychology.

It is also often called: predictable irrational behavior by consumers.

So, please stop clicking on those ads that are accurately pushed. .

To put it more selfishly: Leeks are good for anyone, but not yourself!