"... Objectively speaking, our corps hastily entered the DPRK, and the re-equipment was not complete, especially the artillery was not equipped. The preparations in all aspects were not sufficient, and the supply of logistics materials and ammunition was not smooth, resulting in insufficient artillery and insufficient ammunition. move."

"Subjectively, due to the victory of the first battle on the western front, especially the Yunshan battle, our Corps had the idea of ​​underestimating the enemy, thinking that after the division and encirclement, the U.S. troops in the Changjin Lake area could be wiped out one by one, which caused some insufficient combat preparations. For the [-]st Marine Division in Xixingling, we revised the strength estimates in the intelligence, but during the battle we still thought that the enemy had only built ordinary field fortifications. In fact, they had built a relatively strong semi-permanent defensive position with strict fortifications by using engineering machinery. , the layout of the U.S. military's defensive positions is reasonable, the combat is very organized, the U.S. military is skilled in using the weapons in its hands, and the basic tactics are well-trained. These are very different from the enemy forces during the War of Liberation. The air strikes also had a huge impact on the mobility, offense and defense of our corps..."

1 ten chapters, not a simple small step

South of the Han River, Suwon.

This is the second time that Baek Sun-yeop, the commander of the South Korean First Division, has narrowly escaped from the encirclement.The first time was near Yunshan, and the second time was the day before yesterday.

The South First Division is not affiliated with the South Korean Legion, but is incorporated into the combat establishment of the US 1st Army.However, this did not bring any special benefits to Bai Shanye.In the Battle of Yunshan, the Nanyi Division was basically wiped out. After Bai Shanye escaped with the remnants, he used the recruits recruited from the south to revive the Nanyi Division, and stationed near Seoul for training.Unexpectedly, just over a month later, the United Nations Army collapsed all the way to Seoul.

When the battle in Seoul broke out, the Nanyi Division was pushed to the forefront without any suspense and became a cannon fodder force.

Fortunately, when the 8th Army withdrew from Seoul, it also gave Baek Sun Yeop's troops time to retreat, and the remaining 4000 people from the South First Division could still cross the bridge and reach Suwon.

"In the worst case, we have to be prepared to withdraw to Japan."

In the combat meeting of the US First Army, Commander Milburn had just received instructions from his superiors, and now his face was very ugly.

The other troops under the First Army, the commanders of the US 25th Division, the British 27th and 29th Brigades, and the Turkish Brigade were also unhappy, but Bai Shanye was much more depressed than them.Because Laobai is Korean.If it is withdrawn to Japan, it means that South Korea is going to be a government-in-exile, and he, the commander of the South First Division, has a high probability of becoming a polished commander.

"Is the Korean peninsula... just like that?" Two lines of hot tears rolled down Bai Shanye's cheeks, and he choked up and said, "President...no, we will not surrender, we will definitely fight here to the end!"

Milburn just glanced at Bai Shanye indifferently, and said after a while: "According to the order of the headquarters, we will formulate a plan to continue the retreat today. We will withdraw from Suwon to Pyeongtaek and Anseong."

……

"The new commander of the 8th Army is code-named FX. Who is this person?... His name did not appear in public news reports. It may be that time is too late. Can you check the latest Tokyo newspapers and broadcasts? Maybe some reporters have already interviewed him There are only a few officers at the rank of lieutenant general in the U.S. Army, such as Crittenberg, Ridgway, and John Hodge..."

"Oh, this is the lag of our intelligence. The Soviet Union has obtained first-hand information from the United States and just forwarded it to us yesterday." Li Kernong got up and said, "Washington's news, the new commander of the 8th Army is Matthew Ridgway."

Tang Hua nodded.At present, the most suitable candidate to replace Walker is basically Li Qiwei, so there is no suspense.

"During World War II, Li Qiwei first served as the commander of the 82nd Airborne Division and participated in the Normandy landing. Later, he was promoted to the commander of the 18th Airborne Army. He is shrewd and cautious. During World War II, his superior, Lieutenant General Clark, spoke highly of him. In addition to considering his shrewd and cautious style of combat, the high-level American officials fine-tuned Li Qi to North Korea. Another important reason was that the United States I hope that there will be a senior military officer who can more faithfully implement Washington's instructions to lead the US military fighting in North Korea, rather than a small follower who wears a pair of pants with MacArthur. Ridgway has been in Washington, the core center of American power, as an army deputy staff officer for more than a year Long, so he is a suitable person who can resolutely implement the high-level instructions of the United States."

The chairman and the prime minister listened to Tang Hua and Li Kenong, and also observed Tang Hua.The Prime Minister watched the laser "show" with Tang Hua at Tsinghua University on the night of New Year's Day, but he never said anything about resisting US aggression and aiding Korea from the beginning to the end.The chairman has not seen for almost a month.Now Tang Hua is in a good state of mind, and the background analysis of intelligence research and judgment blabla is talking non-stop.Well, I should be calm.

"Peng Ye sent a few telegrams from North Korea, and now the frontline commanders and fighters have some abnormal optimism." The Prime Minister continued to talk about North Korea and Zhisi, "The troops on the western front fought relatively smoothly in the first three battles. Among the front-line commanders and even many division-level commanders, the idea of ​​underestimating the enemy and quick victory is relatively common, thinking that the Americans can drive the Americans into the sea before a tube of toothpaste is used up without a fight. Mr. Peng In the telegram, he stated that the front line is now facing many difficulties. On the one hand, our logistics and transportation embarrassment has not been resolved, the casualties and downsizing of the troops have not been replenished, and there are still quite a few US troops that have not been wiped out. , On the other hand, the United Nations army retreated to the south, the battle line was gradually shortened, the troops were concentrated, the defense line was stronger than before, and it was not so easy for us to intersperse and attack."

"Peng and Ye's analysis of our side and the enemy's situation is correct. The idea of ​​quick victory is not good. Also, I read the editorial of the People's Daily a few days ago, and the words were not very good. When publicizing the victory of North Korea, we should estimate that There are still tough struggles, so don't make unrealistic comments about the battle situation, and make the final victory easy."

The chairman said so, but he was actually conflicted in his heart.Now not only as Mr. Peng said, the idea of ​​underestimating the enemy and quick victory began to appear in the frontline troops, but also in the Soviet Union.Stalin sent two telegrams in a row, saying that the volunteer army occupied Seoul, it was great, it was great, hurry up and drive the U.S. troops into the sea.Ambassador Luo Shen also came to ask questions every day.The General Staff of the Soviet Union also sent a message asking what China's next phase of the combat plan would be like, and whether they would like to help with the staff.

If it was so easy to drive the U.S. Air Force into the sea, why didn’t your Soviet Air Force try to drive the U.S. Air Force out of North Korea? Up to now, it’s only patrolling the area from Andong to the Qingchuan River within tens of kilometers...

"The Soviet Union also has some optimism about the situation in the Korean War. Oh, by the way, the Soviet Union has also forwarded a lot of domestic intelligence summary of the United States," the Prime Minister picked up the stack of materials handed over by Li Kenong, "There is a lot of trouble in the United States, and many cities Anti-war demonstrations broke out, and the anti-war songs we handed over to Robertson have been sung. The military and police in various cities in the United States took to the streets to suppress anti-war activities, and many violent conflicts occurred. The US government still has to ignore public opinion and go its own way. .”

"..." Tang Hua couldn't help smiling when he heard the news that Robertson's song was becoming popular.

Of course, the primary reason for this is that the blows to the U.S. military in the first two battles of the Volunteer Army greatly exceeded those in history. , Neighbors, friends and colleagues asked each other, how many people died on the front line?This is where the trouble started.

Second...don't overlook the catalytic role of the anti-war culture either.

The domestic situation in the United States collected by the Soviet intelligence system is quite detailed. Wherever violent conflicts occurred, Soviet agents quietly visited the spots, introducing each city one by one.

In Chicago, thousands of people took to the streets with anti-war signs.

In New York, more than 2000 people took to the streets to protest their involvement in the Korean War and to protest tax increases.

In Jackson, the civilians who took to the streets also had internal strife. Blacks and whites pinched each other in the parade. It was not until the police were about to disperse the crowd that the parade finally reached internal peace. The whites and blacks separated into two teams. raise a sign.During the Korean War, the U.S. military was segregated by black and white people. There was an entire black regiment, which was knocked out in the second battle. Most of these blacks were from Mississippi.

In Oakland, a seaside city with a population of 40, tens of thousands of citizens took to the streets and surrounded the city hall to demand an end to the war.Some citizens cut off the railway line and gathered at the station to protest the US government’s continued increase of troops to North Korea; some citizens were at the port, surrounding the wharf, destroying equipment, preventing warships from approaching the port, and intercepting the convoy of troops transporting troops to the port.The police maintaining order fired warning shots into the air, but the citizens of Oakland remained unmoved. The police finally rushed into the crowd with batons and handcuffs and started a massacre, arresting more than 100 people.

Wait, more troops?on board?

Tang Hua stood up, rummaged around in the conference room, and found a map of the United States.

"Chairman, Prime Minister, this is a summary of the information provided by the Soviet Union. It is said that the citizens of Oakland are protesting against the increase of US troops to North Korea, and the citizens are also trying to intercept the convoy that transports troops from the military camp to the pier to board the ship bound for North Korea. Here is article!"

Tang Hua nailed the map to the wall, circled the city of Oakland, California, and wrote "Meibu 40th Division" in the circle.

"Oakland is the resident of the 40th Division of the US Army. The 40th Division fought in the Pacific battlefield during World War II, and it was stationed in Korea when Japan surrendered. On April 1946, 4, the 7th Division returned to the United States and announced its dissolution. September 40, 50 Reconstruction, the division commander is Major General Daniel Hudson. Reconstruction of the 9th Division is part of the US Army's preparations for the outbreak of the Korean War, in case the scale of the Korean War expands infinitely, or the United States There are still soldiers available. Now, the 1th US Infantry Division is coming to North Korea."

Tang Hua continued to look through the Soviet Union's intelligence summary, and this time he did not miss every piece of information, and looked at all of them carefully.

"At Fort Indiantown, Pennsylvania, a training center for the U.S. Army, families of newly enlisted soldiers bought pages in newspapers critical of the war..."

"New Orleans, Louisiana, had a similar wharf conflict with Oakland. Near here was the 45th US Army Division, at Fort Polk military base. This division was reorganized into the National Guard when it was disarmed in 1946, and the Korean War broke out. After that, the designation of Meibu 45 was restored, and its reconstruction time was earlier than that of the Meibu 40 division, and it was restored in August."

The 45th American Bu Division did not fight in the Pacific Theater during World War II, but in Europe.Participated in the Battle of Sicily, the Battle of Salerno, and fought Anzio. In August 44, he went ashore from France and hit the head of Germany.Compared with the military achievements, the 8th Division is more famous because of the two killings of prisoners. The second time was in the famous Dahao Concentration Camp. The officers and soldiers of the 45th Division who captured the concentration camp saw the corpses all over the ground. The guards were all bludgeoned, and the officer who ordered the shooting was acquitted in court.

Tang Hua confirmed the dates of the two intelligence marks again, and calculated the date when the two infantry divisions set off for North Korea.New Orleans is December 12 and Oakland is December 23.From New Orleans to North Korea, you have to go around the Panama Canal, and from Oakland, you just need to cross the Pacific Ocean.Tang Hua drew two lines on the world map, pointing from New Orleans and Oakland to North Korea.

"Based on the departure date of the transport ship, more than 3 people from these two divisions of the US military will arrive in North Korea by the end of January. Assuming that the US military completes all tasks as quickly as possible, they may relaunch their offensive in early February to counterattack Seoul. "

After Tang Hua finished speaking, the conference room returned to a quiet state.The Prime Minister took the summary of information from Tang Hua and put on his glasses to read the information quietly.The chairman had already lit a cigarette just now, and his eyes were staring at the world map amidst the smoke.

No one speaks anymore.

Not only did the chairman and the prime minister feel turmoil in their hearts, but at this moment, although Tang Hua was still as calm as ever on the surface, his heart was full of turbulent waves, and there was a loud crash on the shore.

The Soviet intelligence system should be reliable, right?

The KGB should not make mistakes in the collection of basic national information that is not difficult, right?

Peeping at the mobilization of the US military from these intelligences, the basic methods of open source intelligence analysis summed up by various countries since the Cold War will not be wrong.

Is there anything else missing?

It seems to be gone.

Therefore, the judgment of the 40th and 45th divisions of the United States to reinforce North Korea is correct.

Therefore, Tang Hua used his own knowledge system and methodology instead of relying on historical prediction for the first time since he traveled to complete the judgment on the designation of the U.S. military reinforcements to North Korea.

This small step is really not easy...

yeah.

……

"Chairman, Prime Minister," Tang Hua took a few deep breaths to calm himself down.

"It's not surprising that American politicians will not tolerate the only major failure of completely losing North Korea. If North Korea loses troops, they will definitely fill it with more troops."

Chapter 111, Lidgway's Tactics

South Korea, over Wonju.

An AH-6 old-fashioned trainer plane wobbled over Wonju and continued to fly north.

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