Beiyang reactionaries
Page 1266
It is also very hard to export to China.
In recent years, China has expanded the production of tung oil, expanded rubber plantations, and vigorously developed the mining industry.It is precisely because China has chosen to vigorously develop its export business that China's export volume has grown rapidly in recent years.
But China's export growth, Japan does not care.Because China earns some foreign exchange by exporting, and buys necessary daily necessities with this foreign exchange.
Not to mention the increase in exports, even if China imports a lot of industrial products, such as chemical raw materials and dyes, including many trading companies importing women's cosmetics and scarves, Japan doesn't care.
What Tanaka Yoshiichi and Takahashi are concerned about is the machinery and equipment imported from China, and those machine parts.There are also those generators and machine tools that China imports in large quantities.
Because two people understand what those are.
Among the machinery and equipment imported by China, a large part is the machinery and equipment needed by the steel plant equipment and the coal chemical industry.In the current world, one of the main indicators of industry is steel production.Japan's current crude steel output is only about 110 million tons, but China's steel output last year was already 200 million tons, nearly double that of Japan.Moreover, the Ministry of Industry of China publicly declared that in 1928, the steel output would exceed 300 million tons, and in 1930 it would reach 500 million tons.
However, judging from the current situation in Japan, steel production has stagnated.The first is that the steel plant has no funds to start construction, and the other is that the steel plant has no orders.The gap between China and Japan in the steel industry is growing.
There is also the import of machine tools.
Although Tanaka Yoshiichi and Takahashi Shiqing are not industrial technicians, they also know what machine tools are used for.The machine tool is known as the mother of industry and is an indispensable thing in the machining industry.The processing of accessories required by those machines and equipment requires machine tools.China has imported nearly [-] machine tools from Germany in the past five or six years, which also shows that China's machining industry needs so many machine tools.
The increase of machine tools indicates the development of China's machinery processing industry and the progress of China's industry.Both of them understand this.Only machining will require so many machine tools.That's why Tanaka Yoshiichi was worried.
According to Takahashi Shiqing, China and Japan should increase trade and strengthen cooperation.At that time, Japanese industry can recover.But Japan provides those machinery and equipment to China, and sells those generators and machine tools to China, which will make China's industry develop rapidly.
There are actually two countries in the Far East.
One is China and the other is Japan.Compared with China and Japan, the Soviet Union is weak in the Far East, and there is not much population in the entire Far East.The Korean peninsula is still in ruins, and it is not an independent country. It is a place where China and Japan compete.In other words, the entire Far East is actually competing with China and Japan.
The education Yoshiichi Tanaka received from childhood, as well as his own goal, is also China.Tanaka Yoshiichi was a radical officer when he was in the army. His goal was to take down the Manchurian and Mongolian areas in China and turn the Manchurian and Mongolian areas into Japanese territory.Therefore, I support the "many and Mongolian no master theory".
But now?
This is "feeding" China.Help China develop the iron and steel industry, help them develop the electric power industry, and help them develop the machinery processing industry.
If China's industry develops greatly, the future situation in the Far East will become less and less optimistic, and the pressure on Japan will increase.
"Tanaka-kun, do you know where the machine tools that China has imported in the past few years are used?"
"where?"
"Most of them went to Wuhan in China. Because the Wuhan area in China gathered their arsenal, shipyard, aircraft factory, and established several automobile factories. Therefore, they gathered various parts processing factories. These factories All need a lot of machine tools. And this is just the beginning. I heard that the Chinese government has a huge order for the car factory in Wuhan, and even our country has placed an order from the car factory in Wuhan. In order to complete these orders, more parts are needed .At that time, the spare parts factories around Wuhan will inevitably have a big development, which will require a large number of machine tools."
Since the complete breakdown of Sino-Japanese relations, Japanese intelligence agencies have also suffered great losses in China.But the huge loss made Japanese intelligence agencies more active in China.It's just more secretive than before.
Takahashi knows a lot about China, the opponent.He not only counted various official reports of the government, but also summarized the intelligence of many intelligence agencies.
"Tanaka-kun, this is the current situation. The Chinese government's trade with Germany has a huge trade deficit every year, but they still strengthen trade with Germany. What is the reason? The reason is that German machinery, equipment and machine tools are more expensive than those of Britain and the United States. It’s cheap. You can know the determination of the Chinese government just by looking at this. Although China is an agricultural country, most of the population is engaged in farming. But even so, the urban population of the Chinese government alone is equivalent to the entire population of our country. Population. Now the Chinese government is desperately developing industry, do you think we can stop it? If we say to stop it, the only way is war, to overthrow the current Chinese government, and destroy those factories of the Chinese government. Do you think it is possible?"
Tanaka Yoshiichi was silent.
Of course not.If Japan has a way to overthrow the current Chinese government, Yoshiichi Tanaka will not have a headache.The troops have long been mobilized to go to war with China and destroy the Chinese government.Because Duan Xun and the current Beijing government are the toughest leaders and governments in China in the past few decades, they are very unfavorable to Japan.
But the war in 1923 and the war on the Korean peninsula since last year made Tanaka Yoshiichi understand a little bit.That is, the current Chinese army is not the Manchu Qing army in the late Qing Dynasty, nor is it the army of those warlords in China before.It is impossible to defeat the Chinese army with the current Japanese army alone.
During the Sino-Japanese War, Japan mobilized about 17 people and defeated the Manchu Qing Dynasty.But in 1923, Japan had mobilized more than a dozen divisions, but it did not have an advantage in the Northeast battlefield.Although the war ended later because of the Great Kanto Earthquake, Yoshiichi Tanaka understood that even without the Great Kanto Earthquake, a dozen divisions could not solve the problems at that time.What's more, the current Chinese government has greatly improved its strength compared to three years ago.The standing army alone has 150 million men.There are also a variety of different types of troops, all adding up to 200 million troops.
Now that Japan wants to defeat the Chinese government, it needs to mobilize millions of troops.But in the current situation, Japan has no ability to mobilize millions of troops.For economic reasons, the Japanese government has been disarming the Japanese government for several years since 1923.The number of Chinese troops is increasing, but the Japanese army has abolished several divisions in recent years, and the number of troops has decreased by more than 7.
"Tanaka-kun, since there is no way to destroy the Chinese government and those factories in China, it is also a good choice for us to cooperate with them. I heard that some people in the Chinese government are very dissatisfied with the invasion at the end of the Qing Dynasty. There is always the sound of shame."
"Avenging? Fighting?"
"Yes. Some people within the Chinese government have publicly stated that the Outer Northeast and Sakhalin Island are the land of China. They also think that it is a shame to lose the Indochina region to France and hope to restore their influence on the Indochina region."
Tanaka Yoshiichi did not speak.
Sit there quietly and think about it.In fact, there are many such voices in China.Every time the country is invaded and the country is poor and weak.There is also the time when the country begins to recover and begins to have some strength.All kinds of nationalism will emerge.Even if it is not guided by the government, folk scholars themselves will make nationalist voices.
The land issue is the most sensitive.
Some people began to talk in the newspaper about issues about the outer Northeast, about Sakhalin Island, including about Vietnam and Laos.Duan Xun does not agree with the folks who are too radical.Because spontaneous nationalism among the people will become populist if no one guides it.However, in order to test the domestic reaction, we do not suppress or support such voices.
Therefore, Japan has also heard such voices.Even Soviet and French consuls asked the Chinese government about this matter.
"It would be nice if the Chinese government really went to war with the Soviet Union and France."
Tanaka Yoshiichi murmured.
Yes.
The reason why Japan feels pressure is because the Chinese military is expanding too fast, and the fiscal revenue is also expanding too fast.The growth rate of various industrial data is too fast.
If China really fell out with big powers like the Soviet Union and France, or even had an armed conflict, the pressure on Japan would be greatly reduced.What's more, China's navy is shit, and Japan's pressure is even less.
"Let's not talk about this first. Zangxiang, I understand what you mean. You let me think about it, and I still have to talk to His Royal Highness the Crown Prince."
"Tanaka-kun, you have to make a decision as soon as possible."
"I see."
In fact, Tanaka Yoshiichi already had a decision in his mind.However, although he is the prime minister of the cabinet, it is impossible for him to decide this kind of thing alone.He still needs to discuss with Crown Prince Hirohito, and he also needs to listen to the opinions of the military chiefs.
"However, on the trade issue with the Chinese government, negotiations can be started immediately."
"it is good."
513
"From the Japanese side?"
"Yes."
Practice inner strength.
Duan Xun's choice during this time is very simple, that is to bury his head in cultivating internal skills and accumulate strength.There are many problems in China today, whether internal or external.However, these problems are trivial. After all, it is actually an extension of a problem, that is, China is not strong enough.The best way for China now is to develop silently.
So be honest.
After entering 1926, politics was also relatively quiet.Of course, after the merger of the People's Party and the Kuomintang, they are very powerful politically.After all, the People's Party has sufficient funds and a well-organized organization. It is the only party in China that has county party headquarters in all counties.The Kuomintang was also the largest party in China before.When the two parties merge, China will never be able to match, or in other words, no party with a slight influence will be found.Therefore = there is no political force that can set off political disturbances.
It can be said that after the outbreak of the Revolution of 1926, [-] was regarded as the most politically stable time.There are no local forces such as warlords against the central government, nor are there any opposition parties that influence the People's Party.The only thing is that the Provisional Senate has come up with a new congressional election plan.
Prepare to form an election committee and formulate a complete election plan.This election plan is currently being discussed very lively.Because the provisional Senate rejected the previous situation that the congressional election was a national general election, and changed it to a level-by-level election.
It can be said to be a subversive solution.
Even recently, the provisional Senate has begun to change certain provisions of the "provisional constitution" formulated by Sun Yat-sen and the others when the Republic of China was established.
If it was in the past, there would definitely be a big disturbance and a big political incident.At that time, I don't know how many opposition groups will appear to oppose such a plan.Yuan Shikai, Duan Qirui and the others also caused a lot of military problems because of the "temporary agreement".
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