African Entrepreneurship Record
#1404 - join in
Rhine City.
That Britain wanted to create the League of Nations was no secret worldwide, but Britain's performance in World War I was far less impressive than its previous status as a victorious nation, so many countries were in a wait-and-see state.
For example, countries with good relations with Germany had to consider Germany when deciding whether to join the League of Nations, since Germany and Britain had previously been hostile. Joining the League of Nations might offend Germany or negatively affect their own interests.
But now that Britain, France, Germany, and Austria have all expressed their positions, the establishment of the League of Nations is obviously on the agenda, and progress has greatly accelerated.
Ernst looked at the European newspapers. Recently, the public opinion in Europe has undergone major changes. He asked, "Can the European people psychologically accept the League of Nations?"
The reason for this question is World War I. During World War I, Britain, France, Germany, and Austria were sworn enemies in two major camps, with tens of millions of casualties on both sides. Now, they suddenly shake hands and make peace, which seems somewhat ridiculous.
Morin, who is in charge of foreign intelligence, replied, "Your Majesty, judging from the current European public opinion, Britain and Germany are consciously reorganizing the consensus in Europe."
"Compared to national hatred, World War I obviously caused damage to Europe, which is likely to trigger reflection among the European people. Therefore, there is a large market within Europe for the establishment of a platform like the League of Nations for communication and dispute resolution."
The European people will naturally reflect on World War I, a "tragedy" that almost dragged the entire Europe into a brutal war.
Compared to revenge, peace is obviously what the people want, because the lower-level people in Europe do not want to go through another world war.
"This so-called League of Nations should actually be called the European League. It is a helpless compromise between the four European countries, but it is beneficial to coordinating European international relations and affairs."
"Before the World War, there was no such communication platform, which was also one of the important reasons for the outbreak of the World War."
Morin's words were not without reason. Before World War I, the major European powers basically played their own games without smooth communication channels, which easily turned small problems into big problems.
For example, the fuse, Serbia. If there had been an intelligence exchange platform between the countries, it might have been possible to avoid the further escalation of the conflict.
Ernst asked, "Then what do you think? Can Britain and Germany put aside their grievances and promote the establishment of this League of Nations? Is that their only purpose? What impact will this have on us?"
Crown Prince Friedrich said, "To make two enemies put aside their hatred and turn to cooperation, it must be to deal with other enemies. Based on this, combined with the current conflict between Germany and Russia, I believe this is an attempt by Europe to deal with external competition and threats."
"Germany's main energy now is to deal with the Russians, while Britain is facing the decline of its global hegemony, especially against the United States and us. This is probably the basis for cooperation between the two countries."
"Of course, I am not optimistic about this kind of cooperation in Europe. The contradictions between European countries are numerous and complex, and everyone has ulterior motives. Even if the League of Nations can be established, it is impossible to resolve these contradictions."
In Friedrich's view, Britain and Germany have good ideas, but can they really avoid being provoked and cooperate sincerely? It can only be said that the difficulty is very high.
Minister of Finance Roggens also said, "Europe is the world's largest consumer market, but industry is actually declining. Today, East Africa and the United States have effectively surpassed the entire Europe in terms of industry."
"The decline in industrial capacity makes it impossible for Europe to easily conquer territories around the world as it did before this century."
"In this case, it is impossible to expand outwards and make the cake bigger. Instead, the rise of regions outside Europe may further shrink the market, making it even more impossible for European countries to unite."
"Instead, competition for the internal European market will continue to intensify, eventually leading to conflicts between countries again. It is not ruled out that another world war, or more accurately, a European war, will break out."
World War I was actually a European war, but because of the participation of countries outside the region such as the United States and the Ottoman Empire, it could barely be called a world war. In fact, except for the Middle East, the main battlefield was basically within Europe.
Ernst also agreed with the views of others: "It is definitely impossible for Europe to unite. This time, the League of Nations is promoted by Britain and Germany, which should not be regarded as unity, but rather as seeking common ground while reserving differences. Britain tacitly approves Germany's expansion into Eastern Europe and even the Middle East."
"And Germany supports Britain and countries like us to compete, the two only need to avoid conflicts at this stage, and each has its own small calculations."
"For example, Britain, even if it supports Germany's expansion into Eastern Europe and the Middle East, it is based on the premise of confronting the Russian Labor Party, and this will also involve our interests in the Middle East."
"And the premise of cooperation between Germany and Britain is naturally that Britain is also facing pressure from us and the United States. It can be seen that the current international relations are indeed a mess."
The presence of East Africa has indeed made the direction of the world more ambiguous and unbearable. Many countries may even have difficulty choosing sides.
In the previous life, countries around the world only needed to bet on Britain and the United States. Britain won the victory in World War I, Germany and France were half-dead, and the United States rose strongly outside Europe.
Now, the European issue is very difficult to understand. Britain and Germany alone can make other European countries at a loss, and outside Europe, there are two behemoths, East Africa and the United States.
This is also a kind of multipolarity to a certain extent, but this multipolar international pattern is disordered and the most dangerous, especially for small and weak countries. A careless move may be punished for making the wrong choice.
Ernst said, "However, this also poses a problem for us. Now that Britain and Germany have reached a consensus, it means that the establishment of this League of Nations has entered the countdown. Should we join it?"
"The British proposed this international organization, which must be based on maintaining its interests around the world, and this obviously conflicts with our world expansion policy."
At this stage, the foreign policies of East Africa and the United States are becoming more and more active. After all, with the improvement of the national strength of the two countries and the rapid development of industry, the demand for markets and raw materials is also increasing.
This may also be the reason why the British government can put aside their prejudices and grievances and cooperate with Germany.
As the world's hegemon, Britain has always held the most territory and markets in the world. Industrial nations the size of East Africa and the United States, seeking to expand outwards, would undoubtedly pose a threat to Britain.
This is similar to Germany's challenge to Britain before. The result was that Britain generally managed to suppress Germany. However, facing the two more difficult opponents, East Africa and the United States, Britain was completely overwhelmed.
Britain could block Germany's access to the sea, but this trick was completely useless against East Africa and the United States.
Cristiano also supported Pripyat's statement: "Indeed, the purpose of Britain and Germany is to use this international alliance to limit the development of countries outside Europe."
"At that time, Europe will definitely unite on foreign issues in the League of Nations, thereby promoting the implementation of some plans that are unfavorable to us and the United States. If we join this international alliance, we will be constrained by it instead."
This consideration is completely tenable. Ernst even combined his historical experience from his previous life to understand that Europe did exactly this. The United States refused to join the League of Nations because it was being刁难 by Britain and France.
Moreover, isolationism has always been prevalent in the United States. Joining the League of Nations conflicts to some extent with the long-standing national policy of isolationism in the United States.
Of course, this is also related to the fact that the League of Nations is a non-powerful international organization, and joining the League of Nations is of little practical significance.
There is opposition, and naturally there is support. East African Foreign Minister Friel said: "Regarding whether to join the League of Nations, my opinion is that we should join it. This will help us use this platform to strengthen contacts with other countries, especially non-major powers."
"Due to historical reasons, these countries have long been influenced and controlled by European powers. After all, for centuries, Europe has been the center of modern world civilization."
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"Because of the rise of the Age of Navigation, European countries have established a wide range of influence around the world. Now, with the emergence of the League of Nations, if it can be operated well, this is undoubtedly a platform for us to communicate and connect with other countries."
"This also conforms to the empire's current basic national conditions of being more active and open in the diplomatic field. Of course, the premise is that the League of Nations will not form excessive intervention in East Africa."
"But in fact, the League of Nations is just a non-powerful international organization. Even if European countries intend to suppress us, we can actually ignore it. In the worst case, we can simply withdraw, which will not have much impact on us."
This point can also be found in the previous life. For example, when the Soviet Union joined the League of Nations later, it was with this idea, thereby deepening the Soviet Union's international influence, although the Soviet Union was later expelled.
But this also shows that the Soviet Union was not recognized by the "international community", and the international community in the early 20th century was generally Europe.
Naturally, there are also people in East Africa who want to gain "international recognition". This is the same as some people in East Africa who are一心想打入 the German circle.
But the actual situation is that East Africa's popularity in the international community can only be said to be average. Even as a self-proclaimed German country, Germany and Austria's attitude towards East Africa has changed after the war.
There are only interests between countries. Before World War I, the people of Germany and Austria had always disliked East Africa, but at the government level, because they needed East Africa, the relationship was still good.
However, with East Africa's industrialization and various conflicts of interest before and after World War I, the attitude of the German and Austrian governments towards East Africa has also changed.
These problems can actually be summarized as the problems that East Africa, as a late-developing country, must overcome. Not to mention East Africa, even the United States and Germany, two countries with a relatively "long" history compared to East Africa, have long been排挤 and贬低 by the "international community".
Germany is a "barbarian", the United States is a "nouveau riche", and East Africa is a collection of "barbarism and nouveau riche". Of course, East Africa is not the most "miserable". Behind East Africa, there are a group of countries such as Japan and Russia.
The first to get rich suppress and belittle the later to get rich and the not yet rich in all aspects. This is an inevitable problem in human nature and interests.
Compared to East Africa, a serious "later rich" country, even the United States, Germany, and Russia belong to the "first rich" ranks. However, Russia, because of the Labor Party, has automatically been classified as an "enemy" by countries around the world. And for the enemy, without a doubt, all kinds of bad tactics will be used on Russia.
After all, if a late-developing country like East Africa can become rich, then naturally some countries will suffer losses. East Africa's industrial development also represents the loss of interests of other industrialized countries.
Although East Africa has become the world's largest industrial country, as the "international community" said, East Africa is indeed a nouveau riche. East Africa's wealth has not yet been transformed into influence and status, and has not been completely accepted by the so-called international community.
This is like the old European aristocrats looking down on the new aristocrats. Of course, if they are not even aristocrats, then they will only be looked down upon by both the new and old aristocrats, and they will not even have the opportunity to be discussed.
Therefore, the current negative publicity about East Africa in international public opinion is, to a certain extent, a kind of "praise". This is precisely because East Africa's industry and national strength have reached a certain level. Many weak and poor countries do not even have this opportunity.
After summarizing the opinions of both sides, Ernst said: "I also have some of my own views on the League of Nations."
"At present, East Africa is indeed a late-developing country for the international community, and late-developing countries are destined to face many tests. It is impossible for us to change the disadvantages in soft power such as international image and public opinion in a short period of time."
"All of this still depends on our own efforts. As long as we do more and work hard enough, we can always make continuous progress, and other countries in the world will eventually get used to the fact that East Africa is a world power, an unchangeable fact."
"In the next period of time, we should further strengthen the construction in diplomacy, cultural exchanges, foreign trade, international organizations and activities, etc., and continuously improve and reverse East Africa's image and influence in the world, break the traditional European and American powers' manipulation of world public opinion, and enhance East Africa's voice in the international community."
"Based on this requirement, my attitude towards the League of Nations is that we can join it first, and as for the subsequent impact, we can choose to wait and see."
"Anyway, the League of Nations cannot have too much practical impact on our country's national policy. This can also, to a certain extent,破解 the conspiracies of some countries that are ill-intentioned towards the empire, thereby isolating the empire in the international community."
In the case that East Africa's military strength and influence have not yet reached a certain level, East Africa's accession to the League of Nations is beneficial to reducing some unnecessary troubles, such as being targeted by other countries. Of course, it would be even better if the United States does not choose to join the League of Nations.
Of course, although East Africa intends to join the League of Nations, it is only a temporary wait-and-see attitude. If the differences with East Africa are too great, then East Africa does not mind withdrawing voluntarily like Germany and Japan in its previous life.
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