Werewolf: Please start your show

[Player No. 12 please speak]

"I'm on the side of player 5. He won't back down. I'll definitely side with him today. I'll get rid of player 6 first. As for who is the prophet between 5 and 10, we'll figure it out tomorrow."

"But I definitely tend to stand on the side 5, and play 6 or 10 double wolves. Some people played 5 or 6 double wolves before, which I think is not right and I cannot agree with it."

"Especially after listening to 11's speech this time, I can no longer believe that 10 is a prophet, because I suspect that 10 and 11 may be twin wolves."

Player No. 12 stood up and expressed his attitude and position. He wanted to recognize that Player 5 was the prophet, and that Players 6 and 10 were double wolves.

This is nothing, because most good people will choose the double wolves at 6 and 10. The choice of 12 is completely consistent with the behavior of a good person who closes his eyes, which is normal. But it is not right for him to play the double wolves at 10 and 11 later.

因为12警上是盘10、11不见面的，他还把11号玩家给认了下来，现在又盘10、11双狼，给人的听感就不太好。

"If you still remember my speech on the police station, you must know that I recognized Player 11."

"I said that 10 and 11 would most likely not meet, because 11's reaction and speech after receiving the gold water clearly did not seem like he was meeting 10, and I also did not think 10 could throw the gold water to his Wolves teammates under that situation."

"Then why did I ask players 10 and 11 to be the two wolves? The reason is simple: Player 11 did not speak well this round."

"First, player No. 11 has the behavior of leading the pace of the 5th and 6th double wolves."

"Secondly, he pointed out that I was a wolf, but I recognized him based on logic. If I were a wolf, why would I recognize him? Why didn't I hint that good guys 10 and 11 might be a pair of wolves?"

"My actions and comments were definitely good in the eyes of player 11, but in this round, he followed the trend and said I was the wolf. I can't recognize him anymore."

"Others played me as the Wolf, especially when player No. 7 played me as the Wolf, I was prepared for it. But when player No. 11 played me as the Wolf, he was very suspicious."

The meaning of player No. 12 is very clear. Everyone can play him as the wolf, but player No. 11 cannot, because his words and actions on the alert definitely make him unworthy of the wolf card in No. 11's eyes.

But 11 told Feng Pan that he was a wolf, which didn’t seem like the mentality of a good person.

It is precisely because of this that 12 no longer believes that 11 is a good person, but instead leads him into the wolf's pit, making 10 and 11 double wolves.

in fact.

12 It's a bit unreasonable to do it this way. It's a typical mentality that what you put in should be rewarded.

His subtext is, I have already recognized you as a good person, how can you hit me because I am a wolf? If you hit me because I am a wolf, you are not a good person, and I will hit you too.

however.

From the perspective of player No. 11, it is entirely possible that player No. 12 believes that he is a good person and is trying to win his favor, because some wolves will play like this.

So, 11 can say that 12 is a wolf, and there is nothing wrong with that, but 12 has such a big reaction because 11 said he is a wolf, which makes him seem more like a wolf.

"The No. 8 player in the front position is most likely a charging wolf who sets the pace and incites. I don't agree with his logic."

"Especially when he said that if the Wolves were playing in a format, the chances of 5 or 6 double Wolves would be much higher than 6 or 10, I laughed."

"Haven't you ever thought about the fact that the Wolves had discussed two plans tonight? One is what to do if one of them takes the kill, and the other is what to do if no one takes the kill."

"When I was playing Wolves before, I talked to my teammates about this. Player 8 said that the Wolves didn't expect that they would take the kill. That was too simple of a thought."

"Player No. 9 disagrees with the views and logic of Player No. 8, and point 8 may be a wolf, so 8 and 9 obviously don't meet. 8 is the wolf, and 9 should be the good guy."

“6、8、10、11这就是我现在认为的狼坑，警上我怀疑7可能是狼，大概率是怀疑错了。”

"I hope that Player 7 will not be so hostile to me in the next round. After all, everyone has times when they hit the wrong person. I just thought too much at the time. It was my problem."

Player No. 12 has found the four wolf pits in his mind, and he is on guard against the three above and the next one below.

From the perspective of the overall structure, it is quite reasonable and there is no problem. From his speech, he stands on the side of player No. 5, and there is nothing wrong with 6, 8, 10, and 11.

The question is, are the 12 stations on the right side?
Can 10 and 11 be made into two wolves? If 11 is a wolf, since he has already wanted to hit the hook on the upper police, why should he rush up on the lower police?

如果场上的局势对10号玩家有利就罢了，但场上大多数好人还是倾向于站边5盘6、10双狼的，11在这种时候打冲锋合理吗？
"Alright, that's all I can say. Let's get rid of player number 6 today. It depends on your mood whether you want to poison the witch tonight. I've passed it."

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"It seems that I thought it was too simple."

"After listening to your speeches, I suddenly realized that the situation on the field might not be as clear as it seemed, so much so that I now have to rethink the logic."

Player No. 1 felt that he was too naive. He thought that if Player No. 5 did not retreat, he would be the Iron Prophet, and 6 and 10 would be two fixed wolves, so victory was in sight.

However, after listening to the speeches in this half circle, he felt that he was overthinking.

5 It is hard to say who the prophet is.

If 5 and 6 are two wolves, and the good guys don't play in this direction, then the game will be over.

"Originally, player No. 5 didn't retreat. I think he must be a prophet. Players No. 6 and No. 10 can't escape."

"But you all said that 6 or 10 double wolves don't make sense and logic, and that the Wolves can't play like that. I'm a little confused."

"Especially after listening to the speech of player No. 8, I actually felt that what he said made sense. Players 5 and 6 might really be a pair of wolves."

"Normally, 5 gives 6 a check, and 6 gives 5 a gold water. We can get 5 and 6 to be a double wolf hitting the board. After all, this routine is quite common."

"In order to confuse the good guys, Player 5 is likely to play some new tricks. If he doesn't retreat, the good guys will not be able to play 5 or 6 double wolves all of a sudden, because this is different from the routine we have seen before."

"Maybe 5 is using this to forcefully raise his own prophet status, so as to trick us into pushing the prophet out of the game."

"But let's be honest, this is too risky. Let's not talk about whether it will work or not. Even if it does, the Wolves will lose a player first. I don't think it's worth it."

"And if the witch doesn't get too excited and poison people, the next day, the prophet can report another day to test people."

"If they are found to have been checked, the Wolves will have to sell one more teammate to the table. How can they play this way? If they play with their cards openly, the good guys will definitely be happy about it, but for the Wolves, that would be a very stupid move."

“所以，我还是觉得5、6不是双狼，我想站边5盘6、10双狼。”

1号玩家从头到尾盘了一大圈，最后还是觉得5、6不像是双狼打板子，他想站边5号玩家盘6、10双狼。

No one is surprised by this. It is true that 5 and 6 have the potential to be double wolves, but compared to 6 and 10, most good people are more willing to believe the latter.

Firstly, the risk of 5 or 6 double Wolves hitting the board like this is really too great and it is not in line with the benefits of the Wolves.

Unless the hard drive and the others are playing tricks, but that would be too unreasonable.

It is inappropriate to not believe in positive logic and instead discuss negative logic and low-probability events.

Secondly, what player No. 12 said is not without reason. It is not ruled out that the 6th and 10th wolves are playing tricks. It is possible that they could have discussed two plans at night.

One is what to do if someone takes over the investigation.

Another thing is, what should we do if no one takes over the investigation?

In this case, the logic of player No. 8 is a bit untenable. He said that the Wolves could not have predicted that the prophet would come true at night, so 6 and 10 could not possibly form a double wolf to hit the board.

But according to player No. 12, the wolf team can discuss in advance a plan for someone to take over the kill. In this case, it cannot be said that 6 and 10 cannot form a double wolf to hit the board.

Theoretically, it is possible, however, are Wolves that strong?

Unless there is a great god among them, or someone has thought of all kinds of situations in his mind before taking the wolf.

Otherwise, they would not be able to do this with such a short time for night operations.

"If you side with player 5, players 6, 8, and 10 should be the three wolves. As for player 11, he may not be a wolf. I think the possibility of him and player 10 becoming wolf teammates is very small."

"Listen a little longer. Don't jump to conclusions too soon. After all, we haven't heard some people's speeches yet. Today I'll order 6, 8, and 10 wolves first, and the last wolf tomorrow. This way I'm less likely to order the wrong one."

“但如果我站错边了，10是预言家，那狼坑就是5、6、9，前置位的8、9我认为一定是要开一狼的。”

"5 is the prophet, 8 should be the wolf, 10 is the prophet, 9 should be the wolf."

"Player 7 and Player 12 don't sound like wolves. Even though they seem to be fighting each other, I still think that both 7 and 12 are good people."

"Alright, that's all I have to say. I'm a good player, I'm on the side of player 5. Today's 6 is out, that's it, we've passed."

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"Very good. I like this kind of game. It's thrilling and exciting, and it can reveal a lot of logic. If it's just normal, I'd find it boring."

"The three people 5, 6, and 10 are performing the prophet dance. It's not the familiar double wolf Luohan dance, but a more complicated and rare routine."

"From the behavior, it seems that Player 5 and Player 6 are indeed related."

"One threw Jinshui at the other, and the other threw Chasha at the other. It made people think about it and couldn't help but wonder if the two of them were playing a format game."

"Actually, we don't need to think too much. We'll see if 5 will take off the prophet's clothes." "If he doesn't, then it depends on who he plays. If 5 votes for player 6, 5 and 6 can't be a pair of wolves. If they are wolf teammates, there is no need to play like this."

"Because playing like this is a typical thankless task. Not only is the risk high, but there is also no benefit. At most, it will make the good guys stand on the wrong side and make 6 or 10 double wolves. But he can deceive the good guys for one day, but can he deceive them forever?"

"5 As a prophet, this board has no guards, and he has never been stabbed. How can good people not doubt his identity?"

"In this situation, 5 can only kill himself to dispel the good guy's suspicion, but killing himself will give the good guy another round. Why do I say again? Because the 6th player has already given the good guy a round. After giving up these two rounds, how can the Wolves win?"

"The Wolves play routines not for show, but to win, but it's obvious that it's hard to win with 5 or 6 double wolves playing like this, almost impossible to win, so they can't be double wolves."

It is obvious that Player No. 2 is a person who likes to play with logic. He is not afraid of complicated situations on the field, but he is afraid that the field will be dull, as he will lose the energy to play if the situation becomes dull.

Precisely because of this, 2's speech was full of passion and enthusiasm, especially when he encountered such an interesting game, he was very excited.

"I told the good guys on the field that before we play 5 or 6 double wolves, we should think about what is the purpose of playing 5 or 6 double wolves like this?"

"To be the prophet of Gao 5? Let him get the police badge, and then push the real prophet out?"

"But to achieve this goal, you don't need to take such risks."

“警上5给6丢查杀，6反手给5丢金水之后，5就可以退水了。”

"After the No. 5 player retreated, I dare say that 6% of the people who got the police badge were No. 5. Although it is possible to play the double wolf format with No. 6 or No. , good people are unlikely to play it that way on the first day."

"When it comes to the police, as long as 5 and 6 don't make bandits, there is a high probability that the prophet can be pushed out. Even if 8 is in the last position and forcibly jumps to the god, the prophet can definitely be pushed out."

"For example, if player 5 plays an idiot at the last position, not only can he smoothly resist the push of the prophet, but he can also force the idiot out. By then, even if the good guys know that 5 and 6 are double wolves, it will be too late."

"I think it's best for 5 or 6 duos to play like this, using the least cost to get the most benefit. The way they are doing it now is taking the biggest risk to get the least benefit."

"It doesn't make sense, it doesn't make sense."

"So as long as 5 is in the last position and is returned to player 6, I don't want to play 5 and 6 double wolf."

"Of course, it is possible that 5 has a strange way of thinking. He doesn't want to play it safe and wants to play with the good guys. He wants to take an unconventional approach and try to make his heart beat faster. I can only say that he is very good at playing. He won on the first day."

"But what does it matter if we cheated the good guys on the first day of this game? The ones who were eliminated are the wolves. And I believe that if 5 and 6 are really the two wolves, they can't escape the eyes of so many good people present. It won't be long before they are discovered, and then the wolf team will collapse."

Player No. 2 has been talking so much and going on and on, just because he wants to tell the good people something.

5 and 6 cannot form a twin wolf team, at least from the perspective of the Wolves' benefits, they cannot form a twin wolf team.

Even if 5 and 6 are two wolves, this game cannot fool the good guys, let alone achieve the intended purpose. It is very stupid for them to play like this.

"Let's put it this way. On the first day, I won't play 5 or 6 double wolves. I will only play 6 or 10 double wolves. Tomorrow, I will make further judgments based on the situation of the flipped cards, the test of 5 or 10, and the speech of the second day."

"If I find that there is something wrong with player 5, I will play 5 or 6 double wolves. Similarly, if I hear that there is something wrong with player 10, I will also play 6 or 10 double wolves."

"In short, I think that if we could push player No. 6 out on the first day, the balance of victory would already be tilted in our favor."

"5 is the prophet, 6 and 10 are double wolves. The statements of players 8 and 9 are obviously contradictory. One of them must be a wolf. And I think player 5, who has double wolves at 6 and 8, is the wolf."

"7, 11, and 12 all have preferences, and the bandit side is not big. Player 1's ideas are similar to mine to some extent. I don't want to click on any of the four of them."

"So, in this game, there are probably two wolves above the police, two wolves below the police, and the last one is between 3 and 4."

"Just listen to what 3 and 4 have to say. I plan to find a wolf between the two of them. If I can't find one, I'll go back and talk to 7, 11, and 12."

After listening to Player No. 2’s speech, Gu Feng understood.

In fact, 2's idea is similar to 1's. They both tend to stand on the side of player 5. 6 and 10 are double wolves, but he dare not say that 6 and 10 are definitely double wolves, so he is still hesitant.

There are two possibilities for this hesitation, corresponding to good guys and werewolves respectively.

The first one is the mentality of a good person, not daring to say too much. After all, 10 also has the prophet side, and the double wolves at 6 and 10 are more or less a bit unreasonable.

The second type is the werewolf mentality, leaving a way out for himself. In case the good guys really stand on the right side, he can turn back and not expose his identity.

Player No. 2 should be the former. He seems very confident and determined, but in fact he is very conflicted and dares not to say anything definite.

If he wasn't so conflicted, he wouldn't have said that 5 and 6 and 10 are both wolves on the first day and then see the situation tomorrow. Instead, he would have said that 5 must be the prophet and 6 and 10 must be wolves.

[Player No. 3 please speak]

"I feel like you guys in the front row have talked about everything that can be talked about. In fact, it can be summed up in one sentence. No matter if it's 5 or 6 double wolves, or 6 or 10 double wolves, 6 must be a wolf. We can't go wrong if we put 6 today."

"How to deal with 5 and 10? I agree with the idea of ​​player 11. After player 10 reports and verifies the person tomorrow, we will play him first, and then see if 5 will be hit by the knife. If 5 is not hit by the knife, then play 5."

"If there are no good people among 5, 6, and 10, two wolves will appear. We will eliminate them all. It is equivalent to exchanging one prophet for two wolves. It is not a loss."

"Also, both the witch and the demon hunter can chase the rounds. After 5, 6, and 10 are all eliminated, you can directly play with your identity. I think the good guys have a good chance of winning if you play this way."

Player 3's idea is very simple. Aren't 5, 6, and 10 all prophetic? Without considering the good guys' interference, they can get two wolves.

As long as the good guys can eliminate 5, 6, and 10, they can ensure that the two wolves are gone.

The remaining two wolves were not given any living space and were beaten up.

The witch jumped out to report Silverwater, and the idiot and the witcher jumped out to clear the hole.

At night, the witch starts poisoning and the demon hunter starts stabbing.

The next day, the good guys still have one or two rounds to fight against the werewolves.

With so many opportunities, as long as there are no deep-water wolves, the good guys are almost certain to win.

After a pause, Player 3 said, "If I have to choose one side between 5 and 10, I would definitely prefer 5. I don't want to make the game so complicated, with 5 and 6 having two wolves hitting the board or something. Sometimes the good guys just think too much and give the werewolves a chance."

"It doesn't matter who is the prophet and who is the fake one, 5 or 10. If you can't tell them apart, then forget it. In this situation, I just hope that by the third day, 5, 6, and 10 will all be out."

"When the time comes, those who need to reveal their identities will reveal their identities. I don't believe that the remaining two wolves can escape the witch's poison, the demon hunter's hunting, or the resistance of the good guys."

"If they can really do this, then it's not unfair for us to lose, but I believe that under such high pressure, the wolves can't hide."

"I think 10 and 11 will not meet. Regardless of whether 10 is a prophet or not, 11 is most likely a good person. In this round of 12, 10 and 11 are both wolves. I think he might be a hook."

"The wolf under the police is most likely player 8. If player 12 is not a wolf and the police have two wolves, then find another wolf between player 1 and player 4. I accept what player 9 said."

"And 8 and 9 definitely won't meet. Since I've played 8, I naturally can't play 9. So if I want to find two wolves under the police, I can only play 1, 4, and 8."

"As for players 7 and 2, although I dare not say that they are definitely good people, their comments are relatively benign, and I can't see them falling into the wolf's pit for the time being."

In the eyes of Player No. 3, if there are three wolves on the police, they will be 6, 10, and 12. Originally, he didn't want to click 12 to enter the wolf pit, but this round of 12, the double wolves 10 and 11 made him suspicious.

If 12 is not a wolf, then there will be two wolves under the alarm. Player No. 8 will take one, and the other will be between 1 and 4. Player No. 9 can no longer get it.

3 came up with this wolf pit after careful consideration, and he felt it should not be wrong, unless he stood on the wrong side, which would be another matter.

"This round is actually quite a test for the demon hunter. Should I activate my skills at night? If I do, who is the safest person to kill?"

"If I were a demon hunter, I wouldn't use my skills. Anyway, I won't get hit at 5 or 10. Whoever gets hit will be killed along with him. I'll just let the wolves chop the outside positions."

"I'm betting that the wolf's knife won't hit me. If I do get hit, I'll just consider myself unlucky."

"I think it's best to activate the skill on the third night. During the day on the second day, you can tell the good guys who you will hunt at night. This way, you can help them set a trap."

"Of course, everyone has different ideas. I have said so much to advise the demon hunters not to act rashly. They should be patient and not be impatient."

"The witch can prescribe poison, and it doesn't matter even if the poison is wrong. Just treat it as clearing the pit. As long as the witch doesn't die, the good guys won't fall behind in their turn."

"Okay, that's all I have to say for this round. It doesn't matter whether we stand on the right side or the wrong side. What matters is how we keep from falling behind in rounds."

"Let's put it this way. As long as we don't fall behind in rounds, we won't lose this game."

Player No. 3 is telling the truth. As long as a good person doesn't fall behind in rounds, he won't lose.

But the question is how can the good guys keep their turns from falling behind?

According to what he said, 5, 6, and 10 are all eliminated. What if the witcher, idiot, or witch gets stabbed at night?

What if the witch accidentally poisoned the idiot?
There are too many uncertain factors, and good people cannot guarantee that they will not fall behind in rounds.

Anyway, Gu Feng does not agree with Player No. 3's one-size-fits-all approach.

We need to distinguish the prophets. We cannot avoid the problem and even refuse to take sides. This is wrong.

(End of this chapter)