Werewolf: Please start your show

Chapter 676 Don’t Think Too Simple

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"I don't believe that Player 3 is a witch. In my opinion, he is a self-sabotaged wolf who wanted to slander Player 4 before leaving."

"I have to admit that Player 3 is really good at calculating. He jumped into the witch and said that he didn't die from the poison last night, which has two benefits."

"One is to force the double-drug witch to jump out. As long as the witch wants to save player No. 4, she must jump out to report information. The key is that even if the witch jumps out, the good guys may not believe it. In 4% of cases, they will still put the vote on player No. ."

"The second is to mislead the good guys. Based on the logic that 4 is a wolf, I infer that 2 is a good guy and I am a fake, so as to make you join the wolf team."

Player 1 is definitely unwilling to believe that Player 3 is a witch.

If his number 3 is a witch, then number 4 must be the Eclipse Wolf Queen. The police said that player number 2 is following the trend and attacking number 4. Judging from this behavior, it is unlikely that player number 2 and player number 4 are wolf teammates who meet each other.

To say that 2 or 4 wolves are trampling on each other is a bit far-fetched.

Because 2 is following the trend and attacking player 4, not directly attacking 4, and this is the problem.

Generally speaking, wolves will directly step on their teammates, so as to create a clear opposition. It is rare for wolves to step on other wolves indirectly, especially on the first day. Such a thing is unlikely to happen.

Therefore, Player 1 is unwilling to place the witch on Plate 3. Once the witch is placed on Plate 3, he has to place the wolves on Plates 2 and 4. But can the good guy believe the logic of the wolves on Plates 2 and 4?
Obviously he can't accept it, so he must say that player No. 3 is a self-killing wolf, player No. 4 is a good guy, and player No. 2 is a wolf. This is logical and common sense.

"The witch who was in the back position after my conversation, stop hiding and just come out and take a look. In your eyes, Player 3 must be a wolf, right? He can't be a good guy who wears clothes to block the knife."

"Because the good guys wearing clothes to block the knife won't report false information, nor will they mislead the good guys' sight, and won't lead the rhythm to produce the No. 4 player. He can only be a wolf."

"In this case, there are only three wolves on the field. 2 is still checking and killing, 6 is jumping, and there is only one wolf in the external position. I will check player 5 tonight. If 5 is checking and killing, the wolf pit will be complete."

"If 5 is gold or water, the last wolf is most likely player 12. On the police, 12 is on the side of 6. Although 9 and 11 are fighting each other, they are on my side. I can't figure it out for now."

"Player No. 10 under the police has a gangster ticket. He has gangster face, but compared to players No. 5 and No. 12, his turn is later."

"Anyway, the wolf pit is already crowded. As long as you, the witch, can come out and give us a correct view, once we send out player number 2, it will be like killing two wolves on the first day. The good guys will already have victory in sight."

Player No. 1 really hopes that the witch can jump out. There is nothing to be afraid of, not to mention that there are guards to protect him. Even if there are no guards, when the good guys are leading in the round, as long as he can come out to see clearly and tell the good guys that Player No. 3 is a wolf, then Player No. 4 will not have to suffer the resistance.

The most important thing is that when the real witch appears, the logic of player No. 3 will be broken. Player No. 3 is helping player No. 6 to vote for the incitement number. There is no way for player No. 3 and player No. 6 to escape.
This is why Player 1 kept talking to the witch, but like Player 4, he thought the problem was too simple.

Just because player number 3 is a wolf, does that prove that player number 4 must be a good person?
Player No. 3 is a wolf. He sets the pace for player No. 6. Does that mean that player No. 3 and player No. 6 are both wolves?
Is it possible that 3 is giving identity to 4? It is entirely possible.

The witch jumping out of 3 is just a superficial attempt to drag player 4 down with her. He may be playing a psychological game with the witch, betting that the witch will jump out to get player 4. In this way, the identity of player 4 will be taken.

At that time, who would have thought that player 4 was the wolf? After all, judging from his behavior, players 3 and 4 would definitely not meet.

Similarly, when player 3 helps player 6 to incite, could it be that they are intentionally dirtying the identity of player 6 and making people mistakenly believe that player 3 and player 6 are on the same side?

Theoretically, these may all exist, and it is not even ruled out that this is the trick used by Player No. 3 to fool good people.

As a prophet, 1 did not consider these things at all and said with certainty that player No. 4 must be a good person. In Gu Feng's opinion, it was too early to say this.

The prophet's logic and speech must be rigorous. The fact that 4 is a good person is only a high probability, not a certainty.

Werewolves can use all kinds of tricks, and if the good guys' logic level is not high enough, they will definitely be led into the ditch.

“我现在点的狼坑就是2、3、5、6，容错率在12号玩家，如果我倒牌了，你们就当5是查杀好了。”

"But there is one thing. If, I mean if 3 is really a witch, then 5 should be selected and 4 should be put into the wolf pit. 2 and 3 will be two wolves, and 2 policemen will fight against the wolf teammates as their identities."

"Although this possibility exists, I really don't want to go in this direction. After all, the possibility is too low. As a prophet, I must calculate the correct logic and the high-probability events."

"Alright, that's all I have to say. Stand by me and believe that I am a prophet. Today I will put the vote on player 2. Tonight the witch will poison player 6 and I will test player 5. That's it. I passed."

[Player No. 12 please speak]

"Player 1, I think there are problems with your remarks on the police station, and the problems exposed by the police station are even greater."

"Player No. 4 can see his own cards clearly, so it's normal for him to say that No. 3 must be a self-killing wolf, but what makes you sure that No. 3 must be a self-killing wolf?"

"Does 3 not have a witch side in your eyes? Didn't you say in the police report that he might be a good person?"

“退一万步讲，就算3是狼，就能证明4号玩家是好人吗？你有没有想过3、4狼踩狼？2、3两个人猜4做身份？”

"As a self-sabotaging player, do you think that Player 3 can imagine that if he changes into the Witch's dirty 4 identity, the real witch will come out to correct the perspective? He should be able to imagine it, right?"

"And if the witch does this, won't Player 4 be mistaken for a good person? You haven't even thought of this possibility. You are a prophet, how can you think so little?"

Player No. 12 didn't want to side with Player 1 when he was on guard, and after listening to Player 1's second round of speech, he didn't want to side with him even more.

Putting aside the question of whether player 3 is a witch, how can a prophet say that player 3 is not a witch and player 4 must be a good person?
If you think about it a little more, you can also think of the possibility that 3 is giving 4 an identity. What's more, 4's speech was not that good. It was only because the 2nd police officer followed suit and beat player No. 4 that 1 recognized 4.

Putting this point aside and just listening to 4's speech, does 1 dare to say that 4 is definitely a good person?
从表面上看2、3跟4号玩家不见面，但真不能排除2、3、4三狼的逻辑，因此1的逻辑明显有漏洞，哪怕3不是女巫，4也不能完全认下。

"Player 1, you keep talking to the witch, and make her jump out to the front view. The problem is that if a witch jumps out from the back position, will we good guys believe it?"

"To put it bluntly, what if this witch is a fake one from you wolves? If you say it was Christmas Eve, you can prove your identity. You are overthinking. The wolves can just leave empty-handed."

"And what player No. 2 said makes sense. You guys should use the Witch to protect player No. 4, push the 2nd resistance out of the game, and then kill the prophet at night."

"When you wake up the next day, the four wolves will be present. The only good people are the Prince of Order and the guards. If you take a closer look at your identities and line up your traps, I don't think they can hide."

"It's even possible that you can just jump onto the guards and force them out."

"Should we good people be on guard in this situation? Before a double death occurs, do we dare to believe that the witch is still present?"

"You have to know that from the perspective of the good guys, 3 was stabbed to death, so he is most likely a good guy. But if someone who was not stabbed jumps out and says that he is a witch, why would the good guys believe him?"

There was nothing wrong with what Player No. 12 said. He talked about all the situations that Gu Feng had thought of.

比如2、3、4可能是三狼，2、3两头狼踩队友做身份。

For example, player No. 3 appears to be pulling player No. 4 down with him, but in fact he is betting that the witch will jump out to rescue player No. 4.

Some good guys were worried that the wolves would become more aggressive, so they would directly use the witch to protect 4 and kill 2. At night, they would kill the prophet with a knife, and then 1 would self-destruct, and then use his identity to kill the guard.

All of the above are possible, but Player 1 didn’t mention any of them. To be honest, if he is a prophet, he is really a bit lame.

It's like he's possessed. He always thinks player No. 4 is a good guy. He doesn't think about the risk taken by player 3 to give player 4 an identity. He doesn't think about the possibility of 2, 3, and 4 being three wolves. He just decides that 2 and 4 will not meet. His logic is indeed at a low level.

To be honest, if he didn't know that player No. 3 was a wolf, he really wouldn't want to stand on the side of player No. 1.

Although he said he was on the side of 6 this round, wasn't that to confuse the werewolves' vision so that they couldn't find that he was a witch?

If he could jump out openly, Gu Feng would still prefer to stand on the side of 1. After all, the possibility of 2, 3, and 4 being three wolves is very low. But no matter how small the possibility is, he has to deal with it. If he doesn't even talk about it, then this is the problem with 1.

"I have said so much just to tell the good people that no matter whether 3 is a real witch or not, since 4 has taken a civilian, we should kick him out today."

"Even if we make a mistake, it's one civilian for one wolf, so the good guys won't lose out. If the witch poisons them at night and kills two people, then we'll know that the wolf left, right?"

"But before seeing both of them die, for the sake of safety, I still believe that 3 is a witch, 4 is the Eclipse Wolf Consort, 2 is a good guy, I will side with player 6, and there is no need to bet on 7 because he is a fake gold water."

“狼坑就是1、4、9、11，容错率在8号玩家。”

"If I see a double death tomorrow, I will show my identity to Player 1 and all the good people in the audience. If you can recognize me, then I will do it. If you can't, then you can resist me. I will have nothing to say."

"But today, even if there is a witch in the back position, I hope that good people can put their votes on 4, in case the wolf team really forces the witch to jump to the wolf queen when protecting the erosion."

"Well, that's all I wanted to talk about, officer. 4, passed."

[Player 11 please speak] "No, you guys are on the side of player 6, so that's how you guys are going to get into the wolf pit? 9 and 11 double wolves, seriously?"

"I said on the police that player 9 might be a wolf. When player 9 spoke, he called me a wolf. We've already fought each other. Even if we're wolves, we can only open one at most, right?"

"You can come up with 9 or 11 pairs of wolves, and then say that we are stepping on each other to gain an identity. You are so awesome. You don't care about anything just to light up the wolf pit, right?"

"If you're saying that, could 4 and 5 be wolf on wolf? Could 5 and 8 be wolf on wolf? Both are possible."

"Then why didn't I listen to you and point out that they were wolves attacking wolves, but they chose to attack us 9 and 11, which was wolves attacking wolves? What? Do you think we are easy to bully?"

Player No. 11 was speechless. Not to mention who was the prophet between 1 and 6, he and Player No. 9 were fighting each other and pushed each other into the wolf pit.

As a result, the people who stood on the side of player No. 6 actually clicked on the double wolves at 9 and 11, which was totally off the mark.

He admitted that from the perspective of the good guy in the external position, it was possible that they would become double wolves on September 9 and November 11, but what was the probability?
如果他们9、11可以盘成是狼踩狼做身份，那么4、5凭什么不能？5、8凭什么不能，都是有可能的呀。

The question is, if it is like this, how can we identify good people based on their common border relations?
So, the person who plays 9 and 11 as double wolves is very funny. He and player number 9 can never become double wolves. He cannot guarantee whether player number 9 is a wolf, but he must be a good person.

Whoever picks the two wolves 9 and 11, in the eyes of player No. 11, he is the wolf. Even if he is not a wolf, he is a fool with water in his brain.

“3号玩家是第一个同时盘我们9、11进狼坑的，但他好歹还加了个8号玩家，说1、4、8、9、11五进四，没把话说死。”

"But when it comes to player 2, it becomes 9, 11 wolves stepping on wolves as identities, and 8 becomes the tolerance rate. Based on 2's remarks, I don't believe he can hold the good guy card."

"I still want to stand on the side of player 1. If player 1 is really a witch, I can only say that police officers 2 and 4 are stepping on each other to gain recognition. Doesn't player 2 like to play with wolves and step on wolves? Now I am doing the same."

"If 3 is not a witch, then he is a self-destructive wolf. He jumped out of the witch and said that poison 4 was not poisoned to death. He just wanted to trick the good people into resisting 4. At the same time, he could force 4 to hand over his identity, or force the double medicine witch to jump out."

"As for the 12rd and 3th wolves that player No. 4 is playing, with 3 providing an identity for 4, I think that's a bit far-fetched. I have to admit that there is such a possibility, but I don't think player No. 3 can think of that step."

"You know, he started beating up player 4 since he was a police officer, and he was hostile to 4. When he was leaving his last words, he said something that clearly showed he was trying to beat 4 to death. He said that 3 and 4 were double wolves as their identities, but I don't believe it."

"What if the witch is afraid of being stabbed, so she hides and doesn't jump out to face the view, then player No. 4 will be completely finished, right?"

Player No. 11 does not think that 3 and 4 can be a double wolves. He prefers to believe that 3 is a self-killing wolf and wants to resist the push of player No. 4, or want to use this method to force the witch out.

Either player No. 3 is a real witch, and she poisoned player No. 4 last night but failed to kill her. Either player No. 4 is the Wolf Queen of the Eclipse who used her skills on herself on the first night, and player No. 2 was hit by the Wind Hammer with the 4nd police officer in order to step on her teammates for her own identity.

甚至他在预判1可能是预言家查杀了他，那他打了4就能帮4把身份做起来，这就能解释2、4为什么能做成双狼了。

“最后点一下狼坑吧，2、4、6、12大概率是四狼，容错率在7号玩家，前提是3底牌为女巫。”

“如果3是自刀狼的话，狼坑就是2、3、6、12，容错率还是在9号玩家。”

"Why did I let go of player No. 6 who received 7 gold and water? There are two reasons."

"First of all, 7's own speech doesn't sound like a wolf. At least I think he has a good side, so I don't want to point him into the wolf pit for the time being."

"Secondly, if player number 3 is a wolf, it is impossible for him to talk out the format they discussed last night. I guess the tactic of throwing gold water to wolf in the third round and making a double gold water Wolverine is just to increase the good guys' doubts about gold water."

"In this way, they can seize the opportunity to push back against Jinshui."

"Based on these two reasons, I think that players 6 and 7 cannot be a pair of wolves. Player 7 is most likely a good guy who is being solicited for votes. If player 1 is worried about player 7, he can go check him out at night."

"Who should we play today? I think it's best to play player 2, after all, 2 is the wolf, but if no one in the back position jumps to the witch, player 4 is also fine."

"Anyway, no matter if 3 is taken by the witch or not, we can still fight. And as long as the guards and the Order Prince are not killed one by one, our chances of winning are very high."

Player No. 11 pointed out two wolf pits, one in which 3 were made into witches and the other in which 3 were self-killing wolves.

But in fact, these two wolf pits are highly overlapping, which is the difference between 3 and 4.

But judging from No. 11's remarks, he probably doesn't know No. 2 or No. 4.

If he is a wolf charging, he will definitely set the pace madly and hope that the good guy will go out to play player No. 2, instead of saying in an indifferent tone that it is best to play No. 2, but No. 4 is also acceptable.

His conversation like this means that 11 should not have met 2 and 4, and he is a good person who has come out on his own.

[Player No. 10 please speak]

"Let me first explain why I voted for player number 6 for the badge. There are two main reasons."

"First of all, the conversation between me and the 6th police officer made me feel very good. He said that even if I got the wrong ticket, he would not point me into a wolf pit. This mentality made me feel very comfortable."

"On the other hand, player 1 just talked to me and asked me to vote for him, and there were no other votes, so my heart naturally leaned towards 6."

"But no matter what my bias is, I still stand on the side of logic. Player 1's police badge style makes me feel that he is too talkative."

"In fact, regarding the problems with the 1-badge flow, Police 12 talked about it very clearly. To sum it up, the logic of the 1-game board and the remaining police badge flow do not match at all."

"He said 6 and 7 could be a pair of wolves, but he just didn't want to use the badge flow on 7. He had to see which side 7 stood on. What's so good about his side? If he stood on the side of 6, would you be able to play 6 and 7 as a pair of wolves?"

"That's definitely not possible. As a good person, he accepted the gold and water. You asked him to turn against us on the first day. It's a bit too much to ask. So it's normal for 7 to stand on 6's side."

"We can't say that 6 and 6 are double wolves just because he stands next to player No. 7."

"Similarly, if 7 really turns against us, can we recognize him as a good person? I'm afraid we have to put a question mark. What if 7 is a hook wolf who takes advantage of Jinshui and makes a hook?"

"To put it bluntly, the side that Player 7 takes cannot tell us whether he is a good guy or a wolf."

"As a prophet, 1 should be very clear about this. If that's the case, then let 7 take the first badge. Why check player 3? It's ridiculous to check 3 too."

Player No. 10 came up and talked about why he voted for Player No. 6. This is very important.

If he talks well, others will not think he is a reverse hook. Even if 6 is a tough jump, they will not think he is a charge and will just think he is a good guy standing on the wrong side.

On the contrary, if he doesn’t talk well, even if he stands on the right side, good people will suspect that he is a hook. If he stands on the wrong side, he will be directly accused of charging.

Player No. 10 was well aware of the twists and turns here, so he stood up and started by talking about the reasons and logic behind his vote for No. 6. Once this point was made clear, he would not be led into a trap by others.

Honestly speaking, comparing the speeches of 1 and 6, he really felt that 1 was not as good as player No. 6 in chatting. The police badge flow was indeed a bit explosive, and he was also not satisfied with the wolf pit he chose.

It is said that the prophet in the front position looks at the status, and the prophet in the back position listens to the logic. If the prophet 1 who starts from the back position is not as good as player No. 6 in chatting, then what reason does he have to stand on the side of player No. 1 and vote for him?

"This round, I'm still inclined to side with player 6. Player 3 is most likely a witch, and player 4 is the Eclipse Wolf Queen. Players 2 and 4 don't meet, so player 2 should be a good guy. Isn't player 1 a tough guy?"

"The policeman 4 points to 5 to enter the wolf pit. He is quite hostile to 5. Player 4 is a wolf, so 5 can let him go. 4 and 5 are wolves stepping on wolves, so they can't be dealt with for the time being."

"6 is the prophet, 7 is gold and water, and there is no need to discuss whether 7 is a fake gold and water, because 4 has already used the skill on himself."

"What do you think of player 8? His comments on the police show that he has some bandit aspects, but we can't call him a wolf just based on his comments on the police, right? That's a bit too much. Let's listen to what 8 says again this round and see which side he's on."

"Player No. 9 and Player No. 11 are opposites. One of them will be a wolf. It's hard to say who it will be. You can go and check one of them at 6pm tonight."

"You can vote for 4 today. I'm going to put my vote on him anyway."

"Player No. 6, I hope you can give your vote to Player No. 4 in the last position. After all, he is the one that the witch specifically asked to appear today before she left."

"As for 1, don't worry, we'll release it tomorrow."

Although player No. 10 is on the side of 6, he does not want to play 1 today. He would rather vote out player No. 4 first. After all, No. 4 is the Eclipse Wolf Queen.

Moreover, the witch's last words were that the good guys should go first to level 4 in the conversation. He couldn't just ignore it, could he?

To put it bluntly, if player No. 3 makes a wrong judgment and players No. 2 and No. 4 are double wolves, won’t the good guys be led astray?
Therefore, to be on the safe side, it is wisest to play Dinglang first. Player No. 1 can stay until tomorrow to listen to another round of speeches.

(End of this chapter)